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AI betting stats / ChatGPT

ChatGPT betting tips

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Event Date
ROI: -6.5%
Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg. Odds: 2.94

ChatGPT ROI

ROI based on real bookmaker odds, match outcome market only 1X2 (Win/Draw/Win)

ChatGPT match-outcome win rate (1X2)

Match & Predictions
4 of 6 AI models pick Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks to win at 1.55
25/09/11 - 09:00 (UTC)
Chiba Lotte Marines
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB)

tip from ChatGPT

Chiba Lotte Marines
Backing the home dog: Chiba Lotte at 2.38 in a pitcher-friendly park makes this closer to a coin flip than priced, creating positive expected value versus SoftBank at 1.64.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/11 - 09:00 (UTC)
Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Chunichi Dragons
Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB)

tip from ChatGPT

Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Taking Yakult at home at +101 for a small edge: Jingu’s power-friendly park and the Swallows’ lineup make the Dragons’ short road favorite tag look a shade too optimistic.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Hanshin Tigers to win at 1.61
25/09/11 - 09:00 (UTC)
Hanshin Tigers
Yokohama DeNA BayStars
Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB)

tip from ChatGPT

Yokohama DeNA BayStars
Taking Yokohama DeNA BayStars at +136 for the value in a tight, low-scoring Koshien matchup where the underdog’s true win probability looks closer to 47–49% than the market’s 42%. Hanshin’s price is shaded too high absent a clear ace edge.
Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Yomiuri Giants to win at 1.62
25/09/11 - 09:00 (UTC)
Yomiuri Giants
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB)

tip from ChatGPT

Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Backing Hiroshima Toyo Carp at +134 as the value side in a tight rivalry where Yomiuri’s home premium looks inflated. The implied 42.7% undershoots Hiroshima’s real win chance, creating positive EV.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/11 - 09:00 (UTC)
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Orix Buffaloes
Baseball
Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB)

tip from ChatGPT

Orix Buffaloes
Taking Orix Buffaloes at +209 for the value; the implied 32% feels too low in a league where bullpen leverage and tight games keep underdogs live.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Los Angeles Dodgers to win at 1.02
25/09/11 - 02:11 (UTC)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
Baseball
MLB

tip from ChatGPT

Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers’ depth, home park edge, and bullpen superiority justify laying the chalk at -350, with a true win rate likely above the implied 78%. Take Los Angeles on the moneyline for steady, positive EV.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Seattle Mariners to win at 1.49
25/09/11 - 01:41 (UTC)
Seattle Mariners
St. Louis Cardinals
Baseball
MLB

tip from ChatGPT

St. Louis Cardinals
At price 2.94, the Cardinals offer plus-money value in a run-suppressing park against a whiff-prone Seattle lineup, while the Mariners at 1.43 require an aggressive >70% true win rate.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/11 - 01:35 (UTC)
Reno Aces
Las Vegas Aviators
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Reno Aces
High-variance PCL environment plus home-field makes Reno at 2.22 a positive-value play versus Vegas at 1.58. The market likely overstates the Aviators’ edge in a bullpen-driven, volatile matchup.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Tacoma Rainiers to win at 1.63
25/09/11 - 01:05 (UTC)
Salt Lake Bees
Tacoma Rainiers
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Tacoma Rainiers
Tacoma’s deeper, more disciplined AAA roster and steadier bullpen make them a worthy favorite at 1.63 in Salt Lake’s volatile, hitter-friendly park, offering a small but real edge over the Bees at 2.15.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick San Diego Padres to win at 1.71
25/09/11 - 00:41 (UTC)
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
Baseball
MLB

tip from ChatGPT

Cincinnati Reds
Back the Reds at +150 in a low-scoring park where variance boosts underdog value; the Padres’ price demands a near-ace edge that’s not baked in.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Philadelphia Phillies to win at 1.68
25/09/10 - 22:46 (UTC)
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
Baseball
MLB

tip from ChatGPT

Philadelphia Phillies
Back the Phillies at -164; their home-field edge and deeper lineup make this a small but real value play versus a fair price closer to -175 to -180.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Miami Marlins to win at 1.67
25/09/10 - 22:41 (UTC)
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
Baseball
MLB

tip from ChatGPT

Washington Nationals
Backing the Nationals at plus money leverages a run-suppressing park and divisional familiarity, offering value over the implied 42.4% break-even. At 2.36, Washington’s coin-flip upside creates positive expected value.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Cleveland Guardians to win at 1.95
25/09/10 - 22:40 (UTC)
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
Baseball
MLB

tip from ChatGPT

Cleveland Guardians
Take the Guardians moneyline at near even money; home field and a reliable late-inning blueprint make Cleveland the value side over a slightly over-favored Royals team.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/10 - 22:36 (UTC)
Baltimore Orioles
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baseball
MLB

tip from ChatGPT

Baltimore Orioles
Taking the Orioles as home dogs at +126; their run prevention, bullpen depth, and Camden Yards’ park effects tilt the value edge toward Baltimore.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Durham Bulls to win at 1.60
25/09/10 - 22:35 (UTC)
Durham Bulls
Norfolk Tides
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Norfolk Tides
Value leans to Norfolk at plus money, as Triple-A volatility and a likely overstatement of Durham’s edge make the Tides a positive-EV play.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Toledo Mud Hens to win at 1.72
25/09/10 - 22:35 (UTC)
Toledo Mud Hens
Louisville Bats
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Toledo Mud Hens
Slight value on Toledo at home: at 1.72 (≈58% implied), I project 59–60% with late-inning and park edges providing a small but real EV.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/10 - 22:35 (UTC)
Syracuse Mets
Worcester Red Sox
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Worcester Red Sox
Near a coin flip, Worcester at 1.93 offers the better price than Syracuse at 1.78. In a volatile AAA September spot, stability and reduced juice make the WooSox the value side.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/10 - 22:05 (UTC)
Rochester Red Wings
Buffalo Bisons
Baseball
Minor League Baseball

tip from ChatGPT

Rochester Red Wings
Back Rochester at the smaller home price; in a volatile Triple-A spot, the Red Wings at 1.93 offer better value than paying a premium for the road Bisons at 1.79.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Arizona Diamondbacks to win at 2.09
25/09/10 - 21:46 (UTC)
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
Baseball
MLB

tip from ChatGPT

Arizona Diamondbacks
Near pick’em pricing with an inflated home-field tax on the Giants makes Arizona at -102 a slight positive-EV play. In a contact-and-bullpen-driven game at Oracle Park, the Diamondbacks’ profile travels well.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Tampa Bay Rays to win at 1.57
25/09/10 - 21:41 (UTC)
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
Baseball
MLB

tip from ChatGPT

Tampa Bay Rays
Backing Tampa Bay on the moneyline at 1.70; we make it roughly fair at 1.63 on superior bullpen, defense, and lineup depth for a small but real edge.
Lost