Monaco’s quality, depth, and chance creation outstrip Auxerre’s low-block approach, and the -148 line still leaves a small positive edge. The smart $1 play is Monaco to win.

Win Away

1.59

Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus

25/09/13 - 21:00 (UTC)

Brentford

Chelsea

Football

English Premier League

Score: 2 - 2

tip from ChatGPT

Brentford

Chelsea may be more likely, but Brentford at 4.64 offers the best value given their home resilience and matchup edge. The price understates their true win probability, making the underdog the smarter $1 play.

Win Home

4.27

Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Atlético Madrid to win at 1.78

25/09/13 - 21:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Atlético Madrid

Back Atlético Madrid at home at 1.87; their true win chance likely exceeds the implied 53.5%, making the moneyline a positive-value hold against Villarreal’s volatile road profile.

Win Home

1.78

Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Toluca to win at 1.32

25/09/13 - 21:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Draw

Take the Draw at the generous 5.73; Toluca is rightly favored, but the matchup and Liga MX variance make the stalemate more likely than the line implies.

Draw

5.74

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Real Valladolid CF to win at 2.29

25/09/13 - 21:00 (UTC)

Real Valladolid CF

Almería

Football

Segunda División, Spain

Score: 1 - 0

tip from ChatGPT

Draw

Value leans to the stalemate: the draw at 3.51 looks underpriced in a low-variance Segunda matchup where Valladolid’s control and Almería’s counters cancel out.

Draw

3.39

Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Fortaleza to win at 1.88

25/09/13 - 21:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Draw

The draw at 3.38 looks mispriced given Fortaleza’s control-heavy style and Vitória’s compact away setup, pushing true draw odds into the low-30% range. That creates positive expected value versus a favorite line that’s a touch too rich.

Draw

3.46

Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Grêmio to win at 2.28

25/09/13 - 21:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Grêmio

Back Grêmio on the moneyline at 2.32; home advantage and matchup dynamics make their true win probability exceed the break-even implied by the odds.

Win Home

2.28

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick UConn Huskies to win at 1.31

25/09/13 - 21:00 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Delaware Blue Hens

Backing Delaware at +279 for the upset; the implied probability undervalues a disciplined Blue Hens team in a low-total, high-variance matchup versus a grindy UConn offense.

Win Home

3.67

Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Liberty Flames to win at 1.43

25/09/13 - 21:00 (UTC)

Bowling Green Falcons

tip from ChatGPT

Liberty Flames

Liberty’s run-first, explosive offense matches up well with Bowling Green’s turnover-reliant defense, and the -213 price offers a small but real edge. Back the Flames on the moneyline.

Win Away

1.43

Lost

5 of 6 AI models pick Nevada Wolf Pack to win at 1.31

25/09/13 - 21:00 (UTC)

Nevada Wolf Pack

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Football (USA)

NCAA Football

Score: 13 - 14

tip from ChatGPT

Nevada Wolf Pack

Nevada’s home-field altitude, travel edge, and trench advantages make the Wolf Pack a justifiable favorite at 1.30 against a C-USA visitor priced at 3.71. The matchup geometry points to a steady home win more often than the implied 77%.

Win Home

1.31

Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Miami Hurricanes to win at 1.04

25/09/13 - 20:40 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Miami Hurricanes

Miami’s depth, talent gap, and home-field heat give them an 89–91% win profile, slightly above the ~88% break-even at -731. Take the small edge on the Hurricanes’ moneyline.

Win Home

1.04

Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Luis Gurule to win at 4.50

25/09/13 - 20:35 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Jesus Santos Aguilar

Backing Jesus Santos Aguilar at the underdog price due to his pressure wrestling and round-winning style against an unproven favorite. The +EV side is Aguilar at 166, with Gurule’s -196 too steep for the uncertainty.

Win Home

1.18

Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Zachary Reese to win at 1.46

25/09/13 - 20:30 (UTC)

No data has been received

tip from ChatGPT

Sedriques Dumas

Backing Sedriques Dumas at 2.98 for the value: his measured range game, clinch control, and better late-fight reliability contrast Reese’s early-burst volatility.

Win Away

2.90

6 of 6 AI models pick Texas Longhorns to win at 1.01

25/09/13 - 20:20 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Texas Longhorns

Texas should cruise, but laying 1.00 has zero value; the only +EV angle is a tiny stab on UTEP at 201.00 given a non-zero upset chance.

Win Home

1.01

Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus

25/09/13 - 20:12 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Boston Red Sox

Taking Boston at home as a live underdog at 2.20, where Fenway’s edge and divisional variance push their true win probability above the 45.5% break-even.

Win Home

3.67

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Detroit Tigers to win at 3.20

25/09/13 - 20:11 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Miami Marlins

Backing the home dog: Miami at +122 offers positive expected value in a high-variance park against an inflated road favorite price on Detroit.

Win Home

1.36

Won

5 of 6 AI models pick New York Mets to win at 1.60

25/09/13 - 20:11 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Texas Rangers

The Mets are priced too rich for a home coin-flip; at +136, the Rangers offer positive expected value in a volatile interleague day game.

Win Away

2.37

Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Ishmael Davis to win at 1.12

25/09/13 - 20:09 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Caoimhin Agyarko

Taking the plus-money side on a near 50–50 fight: Agyarko’s jab, footwork, and steady initiative offer positive expected value at +119 versus a possibly inflated Davis price.

Win Away

1.09

Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Iowa State Cyclones to win at 1.03

25/09/13 - 20:05 (UTC)

Arkansas State Red Wolves

tip from ChatGPT

Arkansas State Red Wolves

I’m taking the high-upside value on Arkansas State at 9.88, as the implied break-even is lower than a realistic upset chance in an early-season volatility spot. Iowa State is the better team, but the Cyclones at 1.06 offer poor value for the risk.

Win Home

12.00

Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Washington Nationals to win at 2.04

25/09/13 - 20:05 (UTC)

tip from ChatGPT

Pittsburgh Pirates

In a near coin-flip, the plus-money on Pittsburgh offers a small but meaningful edge. Day-game variance and modest home-field make the underdog price the better play.

Win Away

1.79

Won