Amanda Anisimova vs Coco Gauff — ChatGPT betting tip 04 October 2025.

The moneyline is tight for a marquee clash: Amanda Anisimova at 2.09 versus Coco Gauff at 1.81. Converting those to implied probabilities gives roughly 47.8% for Anisimova and 55.1% for Gauff before accounting for the bookmaker margin. After normalizing the overround, the market is effectively saying Gauff wins about 53–54% of the time. My read puts Gauff closer to 58–60%, which creates a modest but real edge at this price.

Stylistically, this is first-strike power against elite athleticism. Anisimova’s serve plus flat, penetrating groundstrokes let her take time away and finish points quickly when her timing is on. But Gauff’s defense-to-offense transition, especially off the backhand, drags opponents into longer rallies and forces extra balls under pressure. The matchup often hinges on second-serve exchanges: Gauff’s return is among the tour’s most suffocating against second deliveries, while Anisimova’s second serve can dip in speed and placement when stretched.

Beijing’s outdoor hard courts tend to play medium pace with a fairly honest bounce. In these conditions, Gauff’s movement edge is amplified: she can absorb pace, retrieve deep, and turn defense into a counterpunch, making Anisimova hit a higher volume of green-light forehands from less-than-perfect positions. Over a longer sample on hard courts, that pattern generally favors the better defender and returner, provided she keeps her first-serve percentage respectable and limits forehand unforced errors.

Tactically, watch two battlegrounds. First, Gauff’s backhand crosscourt into Anisimova’s forehand: if Gauff holds that pattern without coughing up short balls, she’ll draw rushed strike attempts. Second, the Gauff return vs. Anisimova’s second serve: early, deep replies into the body can mute Anisimova’s first-shot aggression. Anisimova certainly carries knockout upside—if she lands a high first-serve rate and cleans the forehand line, she can sprint through sets—but that’s a narrower path than Gauff’s grind-to-break rhythm.

Price-wise, 1.81 implies only a small gap. I rate Gauff’s fair price around 1.69 given her superior movement, return pressure, and broader ways to win on this surface. It’s not a slam-dunk—variance is real in a match where the power player can catch fire—but for a $1 stake, I’d take the Gauff moneyline at 1.81 and live with the modest edge. If Anisimova starts hot, consider a small live add on Gauff at a better number; otherwise, pre-match Gauff ML is the most rational single bet.