Khalil Coe vs Jesse Hart — ChatGPT betting tip 12 October 2025.

Market snapshot: Khalil Coe is being priced as a clear A-side with 1.16, while Jesse Hart sits at a big underdog tag of 5.80. On the three-way, the draw is way out at 19.00. Those numbers translate to an implied probability near the mid-80s for Coe, around the high teens for Hart, and a very small sliver for a stalemate. In short, the market expects a showcase. Our job is not to agree with the consensus, but to decide where a $1 bet has the best long-term return.

Coe is a talented, ascending light heavyweight with fast hands, a stiff jab, and real power when he steps through his right hand. He looks the part of a future contender, and he has shown he can hurt opponents early. But he is still climbing the ladder, and there are occasional prospect tells: defensive lapses on exits, a tendency to admire his work after landing, and questions about pacing and composure if Plan A does not bite. He has not logged deep minutes against a savvy 10- or 12-round operator who can change looks and stall momentum.

Hart is the opposite profile: a seasoned Philadelphia technician who has gone long distances with world-level opposition and knows how to manage rounds even when outgunned on paper. He owns a long jab, a veteran’s sense of when to clinch or slow the tempo, and counters straight when opponents overcommit. Yes, he is on the wrong side of his prime and has taken mileage, but he has seen speed and power before and rarely looks surprised in there. Against punchers, his experience often buys him survival time to drag a fight into the type of chess that frustrates prospects.

Stylistically, this is not a layup. Coe wants rhythm, range, and clean looks for the right hand. Hart’s best path is to jab first, step off the center line, smother in close, and make Coe reset repeatedly. If Hart gets out of the early danger clean, the later rounds become more about ring generalship, economy, and who is winning the quiet minutes between big exchanges. That is precisely where veterans steal frames.

Intangibles matter. Judges often reward the fighter landing the cleaner jab and dictating distance; Hart can do both in spurts. If the referee allows inside work and clinch breaks without constant warnings, Hart can further blunt Coe’s offense and reduce exchanges to single shots. The longer this goes, the more variance creeps in, which is good for the underdog ticket.

From a betting perspective, the key is price versus true probability. The tag of 1.16 suggests Coe needs to win well over four out of five for that side to be fair. The 5.80 on Hart implies he wins less than one in five. Given his experience edge, survivability, and multiple pathways to nicking rounds, it is reasonable to believe his true chance is meaningfully higher than that implication. That creates positive expected value on the upset, even while acknowledging Coe’s favorite status.

Risks are obvious: Coe’s power could make this academic if he lines Hart up early, and prospect-versus-veteran fights can flip quickly if legs are not there. But at this price, we are paid to accept that volatility. We are not betting on who is more likely to win in a vacuum; we are betting on whether the number is wrong.

Recommendation: Take Jesse Hart at 5.80. The draw at 19.00 remains a long shot in modern judging and is not as attractive as the straight underdog play. If Hart survives the first three or four and makes this methodical, the upset lane opens via a tight decision or late momentum swing. At these numbers, that is the side with the better long-term return for a $1 stake.