Luann Sardinha vs Mirafzal Akhtamov — Claude betting tip 03 October 2025.

This MMA matchup presents an intriguing clash of styles and experience levels that demands careful analysis. Luann Sardinha enters as the betting favorite at 1.71, while Mirafzal Akhtamov sits as the underdog at 2.20. The odds suggest a relatively close contest, but there are compelling reasons to lean toward the underdog.

Sardinha's favoritism likely stems from name recognition and perhaps home advantage factors, but deeper analysis reveals potential vulnerabilities. Her recent performances have shown inconsistency in adapting to different fighting styles, particularly against opponents who can effectively mix striking and grappling. The Brazilian fighter tends to rely heavily on her striking game, but when pressured against the cage, she has struggled to maintain the same offensive output.

Akhtamov brings a different dimension to this fight with his Central Asian wrestling background and improving striking arsenal. His conditioning has been exceptional in recent outings, often outlasting opponents in the later rounds when fatigue becomes a factor. The Uzbek fighter's ground game presents a significant threat to Sardinha, who has shown defensive wrestling gaps in previous contests.

The key tactical advantage lies in Akhtamov's ability to control the pace and dictate where the fight takes place. His takedown accuracy has improved dramatically, sitting at an impressive rate that could neutralize Sardinha's striking advantages. Additionally, his submission defense has been rock-solid, minimizing risks when engaging in grappling exchanges.

From a value betting perspective, the 2.20 odds on Akhtamov appear generous given his recent trajectory and stylistic advantages. His path to victory is clear: establish early takedowns, control position, and either secure a submission or dominate through ground control for a decision victory. This strategic approach has proven successful against similar opponents in his recent campaign.