Dario Bellandi vs Claudio Ribeiro — DeepSeek betting tip 04 October 2025.

This middleweight bout features unbeaten Italian prospect Dario Bellandi against Brazilian power puncher Claudio Ribeiro. Bellandi enters with a pristine 7-0 record built on tactical striking and exceptional grappling intelligence. His ability to control distance, chain takedowns, and hunt submissions makes him a multidimensional threat. Crucially, he's shown defensive responsibility against aggressive strikers, using footwork to evade danger before initiating clinches or ground transitions.

Ribeiro's 2.15 odds reflect his legitimate knockout power, with 10 of his 11 wins coming by stoppage. However, his defensive grappling remains a glaring weakness – all three career losses came via submission when opponents survived his initial onslaught. Ribeiro tends to fade after the first round, and his porous takedown defense (38% success rate) is particularly concerning against a technician like Bellandi.

The stylistic matchup heavily favors Bellandi. Ribeiro's best chance is an early knockout during his high-risk flurries, but Bellandi's cerebral approach should allow him to weather the storm. Once the fight hits the mat, Bellandi's positional control and submission arsenal (4 career subs) will exploit Ribeiro's tendency to give up his back under pressure. Expect Bellandi to methodically drain Ribeiro's gas tank before securing dominant positions.

At 1.74, Bellandi offers clear betting value. The odds imply just a 55% win probability, but his superior fight IQ, grappling advantage, and Ribeiro's defensive liabilities push his true winning likelihood closer to 65%. With Ribeiro unlikely to land a fight-altering bomb against Bellandi's disciplined defense, the Italian's consistency across rounds makes him the most reliable profit opportunity.