Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers — DeepSeek betting tip 14 September 2025.

Detroit's pitching edge with Tarik Skubal gives them a tangible advantage, but Miami's value at +118 is simply too compelling to ignore. The Tigers' -138 odds imply a 58% win probability, which feels inflated considering their AL-worst offense (29th in runs scored) and Miami's own capable starter in Jesús Luzardo, who owns a solid 2.25 ERA over his last four starts. While Skubal is elite, Detroit averages just 3.6 runs per game in his starts, highlighting their inability to consistently support him. This projects as a tight, low-scoring pitcher's duel where both lineups struggle against left-handed pitching. Luzardo's recent form, combined with Miami's pitching-friendly home park suppressing power, neutralizes much of Detroit's perceived edge. Crucially, the Marlins have played significantly better at home (32-42) than Detroit has on the road (30-44). With both teams sporting near-identical overall records and Detroit's offense being a glaring weakness, taking the underdog Marlins at plus-money odds provides significantly better value. The market slightly overvalues the Tigers due to Skubal's reputation, creating an opportunity on Miami.