Reilly Opelka vs Benjamin Bonzi — DeepSeek betting tip 02 October 2025.

This ATP Shanghai Masters clash pits the towering serve of Reilly Opelka against the consistent baseline game of Benjamin Bonzi. Shanghai's notoriously fast hard courts significantly amplify Opelka's primary weapon. His ability to rack up cheap points and free aces, coupled with an improved forehand and net presence, creates immense scoreboard pressure. Bonzi, while a solid competitor with reliable groundstrokes and grit, lacks the explosive power to consistently break down Opelka's serve. His path to this stage involved draining three-set battles, raising fatigue concerns against a player likely to shorten points significantly. Bonzi's return game, particularly on second serves, is vulnerable to being overpowered on this surface. While Bonzi's 2.13 odds offer potential payout, the implied probability feels inflated given the match-up dynamics. Opelka's 1.79 price signifies a clear favorite status that aligns well with the conditions. Expect Opelka's serve-first strategy and the court speed to prove decisive, minimizing opportunities for Bonzi to impose his rally tolerance. The value lies with the American.