Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montréal Canadiens — DeepSeek betting tip 08 October 2025.

This Original Six matchup always delivers fireworks, but the betting value heavily favors Montréal in this spot. Toronto enters as rightful favorites with superior offensive firepower and home ice advantage at Scotiabank Arena. However, the 1.94 odds on the Leafs imply a near 51% chance of winning, which feels slightly inflated for an early-season rivalry game where emotions run high and unpredictable bounces are common. Montréal thrives as underdogs in this historic matchup, playing a disciplined, defensively structured game that frustrates Toronto's stars. Their 3.20 odds translate to an implied probability around 31%, significantly undervaluing a team that consistently raises its level against the Leafs, evidenced by recent playoff upsets. The Canadiens' strong goaltending and ability to counter Toronto's rush offense make them exceptionally dangerous. While Toronto might win more often than not over a large sample size, the significant plus-money return on Montréal offers far superior expected value. The draw at 4.25 is tempting given potential overtime, but the direct underdog provides clearer value. Early season form can be volatile, and Montréal's system travels well, making the significant payout on an away win the sharp play.