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AI betting stats / ChatGPT

ChatGPT betting tips

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Event Date
ROI: -8.2%
Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg. Odds: 2.89

ChatGPT ROI

ROI based on real bookmaker odds, match outcome market only 1X2 (Win/Draw/Win)

ChatGPT match-outcome win rate (1X2)

Match & Predictions
4 of 6 AI models pick Texas Rangers to win at 1.98
25/09/10 - 00:05 (UTC)
Texas Rangers
Milwaukee Brewers
Baseball
MLB
tip from ChatGPT
Milwaukee Brewers win
1.94

ChatGPT prediction for Texas Rangers vs Milwaukee Brewers, 10 September 2025.

Near pick’em pricing makes the slight edge go to Milwaukee’s run prevention and bullpen at a better number (-103) over Texas’s home-field lean. In a tight, late-inning game script, the Brewers’ relief depth is the difference.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/10 - 00:05 (UTC)
Round Rock Express
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Baseball
Minor League Baseball
tip from ChatGPT
Round Rock Express win
1.79

ChatGPT prediction for Round Rock Express vs Sugar Land Space Cowboys, 10 September 2025.

Round Rock at home in a hitter-friendly park with late-inning leverage offers a modest edge at the current price. The Express clear the break-even bar for 1.93, while Sugar Land looks too rich at 1.79.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Philadelphia Phillies to win at 1.77
25/09/09 - 22:46 (UTC)
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
Baseball
MLB
tip from ChatGPT
Philadelphia Phillies win
1.77

ChatGPT prediction for Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets, 09 September 2025.

Back the Phillies moneyline at 1.70; I project their win probability around 60–62% at home, making fair closer to -150 to -160. The edge is modest but positive versus the Mets’ more volatile profile.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Cleveland Guardians to win at 1.88
25/09/09 - 22:41 (UTC)
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
Baseball
MLB
tip from ChatGPT
Cleveland Guardians win
1.88

ChatGPT prediction for Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals, 09 September 2025.

Back Cleveland at home at 1.68; their bullpen depth and run-prevention edge nudge the true win probability above the break-even mark. Modest but positive EV versus a live Royals side.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Miami Marlins to win at 1.83
25/09/09 - 22:41 (UTC)
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
Baseball
MLB
tip from ChatGPT
Washington Nationals win
2.11

ChatGPT prediction for Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals, 09 September 2025.

Nationals at plus money in a low-scoring, divisional matchup offer positive expected value versus a Marlins price that likely overstates their edge.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Baltimore Orioles to win at 1.68
25/09/09 - 22:36 (UTC)
Baltimore Orioles
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baseball
MLB
tip from ChatGPT
Baltimore Orioles win
1.68

ChatGPT prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates, 09 September 2025.

Backing the Orioles at 1.61 for a modest but real edge: their home-field run prevention, lineup depth, and steadier bullpen project a ~65% win rate versus Pittsburgh.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/09 - 22:35 (UTC)
Durham Bulls
Norfolk Tides
Baseball
Minor League Baseball
tip from ChatGPT
Norfolk Tides win
2.15

ChatGPT prediction for Durham Bulls vs Norfolk Tides, 09 September 2025.

Take Norfolk Tides at 2.15 as the value side in a high-variance AAA matchup where the home favorite looks overpriced. I’d play it down to about +108, with an estimated 2–5% EV edge at current odds.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Indianapolis Indians to win at 1.92
25/09/09 - 22:35 (UTC)
Indianapolis Indians
Iowa Cubs
Baseball
Minor League Baseball
tip from ChatGPT
Indianapolis Indians win
1.92

ChatGPT prediction for Indianapolis Indians vs Iowa Cubs, 09 September 2025.

Take the Indians at -145; home-field, park effects, and September roster churn push their true win probability above the 59.2% break-even for a small but real edge.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders to win at 1.65
25/09/09 - 22:35 (UTC)
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Baseball
Minor League Baseball
tip from ChatGPT
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders win
1.65

ChatGPT prediction for Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders vs Lehigh Valley IronPigs, 09 September 2025.

Take the RailRiders at home at -112: Triple-A home field and park effects push their true win rate above the 52.8% implied, creating a small but real edge.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Toledo Mud Hens to win at 1.85
25/09/09 - 22:35 (UTC)
Toledo Mud Hens
Louisville Bats
Baseball
Minor League Baseball
tip from ChatGPT
Louisville Bats win
1.85

ChatGPT prediction for Toledo Mud Hens vs Louisville Bats, 09 September 2025.

Backing the Louisville Bats at a small plus price offers better risk-reward in a high-variance AAA spot where Toledo’s -145 implies too much certainty.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Syracuse Mets to win at 1.79
25/09/09 - 22:35 (UTC)
Syracuse Mets
Worcester Red Sox
Baseball
Minor League Baseball
tip from ChatGPT
Syracuse Mets win
1.79

ChatGPT prediction for Syracuse Mets vs Worcester Red Sox, 09 September 2025.

Back Syracuse at home: series-opener dynamics, last at-bat leverage, and likely September roster stability tip the true odds above the 1.79 breakeven.
Lost

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/09 - 22:05 (UTC)
Rochester Red Wings
Buffalo Bisons
Baseball
Minor League Baseball
tip from ChatGPT
Rochester Red Wings win
1.92

ChatGPT prediction for Rochester Red Wings vs Buffalo Bisons, 09 September 2025.

Home-field, series-opener dynamics, and a fair price make Rochester at -108 a small but real value over Buffalo’s steeper -127.
Won

6 of 6 AI models pick Tampa Bay Rays to win at 2.34
25/09/09 - 21:41 (UTC)
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
Baseball
MLB
tip from ChatGPT
Tampa Bay Rays win
2.34

ChatGPT prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays, 09 September 2025.

Back the Rays at 1.70; their bullpen, defense, and platoon edges push their true win probability a few points above the price-implied 58–59%. A modest but repeatable +EV play versus a rebuilding White Sox.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick St. Paul Saints to win at 1.79
25/09/09 - 21:37 (UTC)
St. Paul Saints
Columbus Clippers
Baseball
Minor League Baseball
tip from ChatGPT
St. Paul Saints win
1.79

ChatGPT prediction for St. Paul Saints vs Columbus Clippers, 09 September 2025.

Slight home-field and late-season AAA variance management tilt this near coin flip toward St. Paul at the current price of 1.79. I’ll back the Saints for a small but positive expected value.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models predict a draw at 3.30
25/09/09 - 21:35 (UTC)
Venezuela
Colombia
Football
FIFA World Cup Qualifiers - CONMEBOL
tip from ChatGPT
Draw
3.30

ChatGPT prediction for Venezuela vs Colombia, 09 September 2025.

Two disciplined, low-event sides and even moneylines make the draw at +217 the smartest value play. Expect a cagey 0-0/1-1 type match where neither team overextends.
Lost

6 of 6 AI models pick Nashville Sounds to win at 1.63
25/09/09 - 21:35 (UTC)
Nashville Sounds
Gwinnett Stripers
Baseball
Minor League Baseball
tip from ChatGPT
Nashville Sounds win
1.63

ChatGPT prediction for Nashville Sounds vs Gwinnett Stripers, 09 September 2025.

Backing Nashville at home: their park-driven edge, bullpen depth, and organizational stability push their true win rate above the 1.63 break-even.
Won

5 of 6 AI models pick Minnesota Lynx to win at 4.08
25/09/09 - 21:33 (UTC)
Indiana Fever
Minnesota Lynx
Basketball
WNBA
tip from ChatGPT
Indiana Fever win
1.25

ChatGPT prediction for Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx, 09 September 2025.

Backing the home dog: Indiana at 3.05 offers positive value given home-court lift and high-variance offense, while Minnesota is taxed at 1.40.
Won

4 of 6 AI models pick Brazil to win at 2.55
25/09/09 - 21:30 (UTC)
Bolivia
Brazil
Football
FIFA World Cup Qualifiers - CONMEBOL
tip from ChatGPT
Brazil win
2.55

ChatGPT prediction for Bolivia vs Brazil, 09 September 2025.

Altitude narrows the gap, but Brazil’s true win probability still exceeds the 45% break-even implied by the 2.22 price, making the Seleção a +EV play.
Lost

4 of 6 AI models pick Uruguay to win at 2.07
25/09/09 - 21:30 (UTC)
Chile
Uruguay
Football
FIFA World Cup Qualifiers - CONMEBOL
tip from ChatGPT
Draw
2.90

ChatGPT prediction for Chile vs Uruguay, 09 September 2025.

Tight, risk-averse CONMEBOL qualifiers favor a stalemate; at 3.18, the draw offers positive value given the likely low-tempo, cagey game state.
Won

Models disagree; no reliable consensus
25/09/09 - 21:30 (UTC)
Peru
Paraguay
Football
FIFA World Cup Qualifiers - CONMEBOL
tip from ChatGPT
Peru win
2.92

ChatGPT prediction for Peru vs Paraguay, 09 September 2025.

Take Peru at 2.52: their home edge and Paraguay’s limited away chance creation make the host win slightly undervalued versus the draw-heavy market.
Lost