Levante vs Alavés - AI Predictions Comparison (27 February 2026)

Poise at the back will matter more than frantic forward bursts in a match that looks predisposed to low margins. Alavés come in as a compact defensive outfit with a clear focal point up front; Lucas Boyé has been doing the heavy lifting in attack and arrives with tangible confidence after a recent brace.

That profile makes them hard to break down and efficient on the counter, while Levante's urgency at home may produce hopeful moments rather than sustained control. The common narrative that a desperate home side must force the issue understates how a disciplined away unit can turn limited chances into a decisive result.

Market reference lines are 2.86 2.86 {AWAY_ODDS.

This La Liga clash sees a desperate Levante, languishing at rock-bottom in 19th with just 18 points, host a mid-table Alavés side that sits comfortably in 14th with 27 points. Levante's situation is grim, marked by a four-game losing streak and a defense that concedes nearly two goals per game. The absence of Kervin Arriaga due to suspension further weakens their midfield, leaving a gaping hole as they chase vital survival points. Bookmakers reflect the tight nature of this encounter, with Levante priced at 2.39, Alavés at 2.39, and a draw at 2.39.

Despite simulations giving Levante a slight 37% edge, their current form paints a different picture. Alavés, on the other hand, boasts a rock-solid defense that has been key to their stability this season. Their attacking prowess is largely spearheaded by the red-hot Lucas Boyé, who has netted over half their goals and is fresh off a brace. He's primed to exploit Levante's notoriously leaky backline, a major concern for the home side.

While recent head-to-head encounters have been cagey and low-scoring, the current dynamics suggest a potentially more open game, with 'tight odds screaming over 2.5 goals.' Alavés has historically had the edge in this fixture, winning three of the last six meetings. Given Levante's deep struggles, including their defensive frailties and a key suspension, coupled with Alavés's disciplined defending and the clinical finishing of Boyé, the visitors are well-positioned to take advantage. This isn't just a relegation six-pointer; it's a chance for Alavés to solidify their mid-table standing against a team in freefall. We anticipate Alavés to leverage their strengths and secure a crucial away victory.

Levante's position at the bottom of the table with minimal points collected across twenty-five matches creates a desperate backdrop, yet home advantage at Ciudad de Valencia offers a psychological lift. Alavés arrives with a more stable defensive record and sits comfortably in mid-table, but their recent form shows inconsistency—mixing draws with defeats rather than stringing wins together. Lucas Boyé remains their creative focal point, though Levante's leaky backline has conceded heavily all season, which could invite danger. The head-to-head record tilts slightly toward Alavés in recent encounters, winning three of the last six meetings. Levante's four-game losing streak and the absence of Kervin Arriaga due to suspension compound their structural weaknesses. Simulations suggest a narrow probability favoring the home side, yet the overall defensive frailty and Alavés' proven ability to grind out results—including recent draws against stronger opposition—make the away team a more reliable proposition. Conservative analysis favors the visiting side's steadier approach over Levante's crisis management.

Levante's home turf at Ciudad de Valencia offers a glimmer of hope for the beleaguered hosts, who languish at the foot of La Liga with just 18 points from 25 grueling matches. Desperation fuels their attack in this relegation scrap, but Alavés, comfortably mid-table on 27 points, boast a defense that's been a fortress this season. The visitors' Argentine sharpshooter Lucas Boyé is in scintillating form, netting over half of Alavés' goals and fresh from a brace that could dismantle Levante's porous backline, which leaks nearly two goals per outing.

Simulations hint at a razor-thin 37% chance for Levante to steal the points, yet the bookies reflect the tension with 2.39 for the hosts, 2.39 for Alavés, and 2.39 tempting punters in a potential stalemate. Levante's nightmare continues with four losses on the spin and key midfielder Kervin Arriaga sidelined by suspension, widening cracks in an already fragile setup. Alavés, meanwhile, thrive on gritty resilience, blending draws and narrow defeats, including a recent 2-2 thriller.

Head-to-head history favors Alavés slightly, winning three of the last six cagey encounters that buck the trend of low scores. This clash screams value in the away win—Boyé's firepower against Levante's woes could turn the tide, making Alavés the smart play for bettors eyeing profit in a high-stakes survival duel.

In this La Liga clash, the home side finds themselves in a dire situation at the bottom of the table, but such circumstances can ignite unexpected performances. Simulations suggest they hold a slight advantage on their own turf, and desperation for survival points often brings out the best in struggling teams. Alavés arrives with a reputation for solid defending, yet their away form has been mixed, and over-reliance on one prolific scorer could be exploited by a motivated opponent. The suspension of a key midfielder adds a challenge, but it also presents an opportunity for others to rise to the occasion in what could be a tightly contested match.

Levante, currently in 19th place with only 18 points from 25 games, is facing a critical match against mid-table Alavés. The home team's recent form has been abysmal, with four straight losses, and the absence of Kervin Arriaga due to suspension adds to their woes. On the other hand, Alavés, sitting comfortably in 14th place with 27 points, boasts a solid defensive record and a potent attacking force led by Lucas Boyé, who has scored over half of their goals this season. Boyé's recent brace suggests he is in top form and could pose a significant threat to Levante's struggling defense. The simulations give Levante a slight 37% chance of winning at home, but the odds are 2.39 for Levante, 2.39 for Alavés, and 2.39 for a draw. Given the current form and key player performances, it seems more likely that Alavés will capitalize on Levante's vulnerabilities and secure a crucial away win.