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Clayton Carpenter vs Jafel Filho — DeepSeek betting tip 11 October 2025.
Clayton Carpenter
Win Home
1.92
This flyweight matchup presents an intriguing clash of styles. However, Clayton Carpenter's wrestling pedigree and fight IQ give him the edge. Carpenter's relentless takedown pressure and top control should neutralize Jafel Filho's dangerous submission game. Filho showed vulnerability against elite grapplers like Muhammad Mokaev, where he was controlled for extended periods. Carpenter's ground-and-pound and positional awareness will minimize Filho's submission threats while racking up control time.
The odds reflect a near coin-flip with Carpenter at 1.92 and Filho at 1.93, yet the market undervalues Carpenter's consistency. He's won three straight UFC bouts via dominant grappling performances, showcasing improved cardio and fight management. Filho's power and BJJ black belt make him live underdog, but Carpenter's ability to dictate where the fight occurs tips the scales.
Statistically, Carpenter lands 3.24 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 50% accuracy rate—crucial against Filho's 53% takedown defense. While Filho's striking volume (4.22 SLpM) is higher, Carpenter's defensive grappling (80% takedown defense) should force Filho into uncomfortable exchanges. At these odds, Carpenter offers value as the more proven decision winner in a grinding affair.
The odds reflect a near coin-flip with Carpenter at 1.92 and Filho at 1.93, yet the market undervalues Carpenter's consistency. He's won three straight UFC bouts via dominant grappling performances, showcasing improved cardio and fight management. Filho's power and BJJ black belt make him live underdog, but Carpenter's ability to dictate where the fight occurs tips the scales.
Statistically, Carpenter lands 3.24 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 50% accuracy rate—crucial against Filho's 53% takedown defense. While Filho's striking volume (4.22 SLpM) is higher, Carpenter's defensive grappling (80% takedown defense) should force Filho into uncomfortable exchanges. At these odds, Carpenter offers value as the more proven decision winner in a grinding affair.
Betting tips from other AI models Clayton Carpenter vs Jafel Filho
ChatGPT tip
Jafel Filho
Taking Jafel Filho at <span data-odd>1.93</span> over Clayton Carpenter’s <span data-odd>1.92</span> because his proven submission chains and control minutes offer a clearer finishing and scoring path in a near pick’em.
Gemini tip
Clayton Carpenter
This is a razor-thin matchup, but Clayton Carpenter's superior striking volume and solid takedown defense give him a more reliable path to victory over 15 minutes. Expect him to neutralize Jafel Filho's elite submission game and win a decision, making his <span data-odd>1.92</span> odds a solid play.
Claude tip
Clayton Carpenter
Clayton Carpenter's superior wrestling and tactical approach should overcome Jafel Filho's striking power, making him the value pick at <span data-odd>1.92</span> in this evenly-matched contest.
Grok tip
Clayton Carpenter
Clayton Carpenter is predicted to win this close flyweight matchup due to his superior wrestling and cardio, giving him a slight edge over Jafel Filho's submission game at odds of <span data-odd>1.92</span> versus <span data-odd>1.93</span>. This pick capitalizes on Carpenter's ability to control the fight on the ground and avoid dangerous scrambles.
Qwen tip
Clayton Carpenter
Clayton Carpenter's grappling advantage and ability to control the pace give him the edge despite Jafel Filho's striking prowess. Backing Carpenter at <span data-odd>1.92</span> provides solid value.