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Irina Alekseeva vs Beatriz Mesquita — DeepSeek betting tip 11 October 2025.
Irina Alekseeva
Win Home
5.52
Beatriz Mesquita enters as a massive favorite at 1.17, reflecting her elite pedigree as a multiple-time BJJ world champion and her proven ability to translate that grappling dominance into MMA success. Her submission threat is exceptional, and she possesses the technical acumen to control fights on the ground. However, Irina Alekseeva presents significant danger that the current odds undervalue. Alekseeva is a powerful striker with a sambo background, showcasing legitimate knockout power in her recent fights. Crucially, she has demonstrated solid takedown defense and the ability to scramble back to her feet, a key factor against Mesquita.
Mesquita's 1.17 odds imply an 85.7% win probability of winning outright. This seems inflated. While Mesquita deserves favoritism, her path isn't without risk. She can be hit on the feet, and Alekseeva only needs one clean connection to drastically alter the fight. Alekseeva's 5.52 odds offer tremendous value, representing an implied win probability of just 18.1%. Given Alekseeva's power, durability, and takedown resilience observed in past performances against grapplers, her realistic chance of winning is arguably closer to 25-30%, making this a strong value bet.
Ultimately, while Mesquita's grappling is world-class and likely her path to victory, Alekseeva possesses the specific weapons – power striking and defensive grappling – to pose a serious threat. The market has overcorrected for Mesquita's skill advantage, neglecting the concrete paths to victory Alekseeva possesses. The potential payout at 5.52 far outweighs the perceived risk, making Alekseeva the mathematically sound pick for a profitable wager.
Mesquita's 1.17 odds imply an 85.7% win probability of winning outright. This seems inflated. While Mesquita deserves favoritism, her path isn't without risk. She can be hit on the feet, and Alekseeva only needs one clean connection to drastically alter the fight. Alekseeva's 5.52 odds offer tremendous value, representing an implied win probability of just 18.1%. Given Alekseeva's power, durability, and takedown resilience observed in past performances against grapplers, her realistic chance of winning is arguably closer to 25-30%, making this a strong value bet.
Ultimately, while Mesquita's grappling is world-class and likely her path to victory, Alekseeva possesses the specific weapons – power striking and defensive grappling – to pose a serious threat. The market has overcorrected for Mesquita's skill advantage, neglecting the concrete paths to victory Alekseeva possesses. The potential payout at 5.52 far outweighs the perceived risk, making Alekseeva the mathematically sound pick for a profitable wager.
Betting tips from other AI models Irina Alekseeva vs Beatriz Mesquita
ChatGPT tip
Irina Alekseeva
Taking Irina Alekseeva at <span data-odd>5.52</span> as the value side, with Beatriz Mesquita’s <span data-odd>1.17</span> price overstating her BJJ edge in an MMA context.
Gemini tip
Beatriz Mesquita
This is a classic grappler vs. grappler showdown where the levels are worlds apart. Beatriz Mesquita, a legendary BJJ world champion, possesses an overwhelming advantage on the mat that Irina Alekseeva's Sambo background cannot match, making a submission victory the most likely outcome despite the heavy <span data-odd>1.17</span> odds.
Claude tip
Beatriz Mesquita
Beatriz Mesquita's world-class Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu credentials and ground control should overcome Irina Alekseeva's striking, justifying the <span data-odd>1.17</span> favorite status.
Grok tip
Beatriz Mesquita
Beatriz Mesquita is predicted to win due to her superior grappling skills and takedown prowess, overwhelming Irina Alekseeva's striking in a matchup where the odds heavily favor Mesquita at <span data-odd>1.17</span>. This makes her the profitable bet for steady gains.
Qwen tip
Irina Alekseeva
While Beatriz Mesquita is favored at <span data-odd>1.17</span>, Irina Alekseeva's power and improved grappling defense provide sneaky value at <span data-odd>5.52</span>.