Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Muniz — Qwen betting tip 05 October 2025.

When analyzing the matchup between Edmen Shahbazyan and Andre Muniz, several key factors come into play that help us determine where the value lies in this betting scenario. Shahbazyan enters as the favorite with odds of 1.31, while Muniz is the underdog at 3.64. The draw sits at an astronomical 50.00, making it unlikely but worth noting for completeness.
Shahbazyan's career trajectory shows promise, particularly given his undefeated streak early in his UFC tenure and his strong grappling pedigree. However, his recent losses have raised questions about his adaptability against more experienced opponents. His striking remains a strength, but his ground game has shown vulnerabilities when matched against elite grapplers. This could be pivotal against Muniz, who thrives on taking fights to the mat and imposing his will through submission attempts.
Muniz, on the other hand, is riding high after notable victories that showcased both his grappling acumen and improved striking defense. His ability to chain submissions together makes him one of the most dangerous grapplers in the division. Given Shahbazyan’s defensive lapses on the ground, Muniz may see this as an opportunity to exploit those weaknesses. Additionally, Muniz’s fight IQ allows him to remain calm under pressure, which often translates into smarter decision-making during critical moments of a bout.
From a stylistic perspective, this fight appears tailor-made for Muniz to pull off the upset. Shahbazyan’s path to victory likely involves keeping the fight standing and using his superior athleticism to outpoint Muniz over five rounds. However, Muniz’s takedown accuracy and control time on the mat make it difficult to imagine Shahbazyan maintaining distance consistently enough to secure a win via decision. Moreover, if the fight hits the canvas—which seems probable—Shahbazyan’s defensive grappling shortcomings become glaringly apparent."The market odds suggest that bettors heavily favor Shahbazyan due to his name recognition and flashy skill set. Yet, these odds fail to account fully for Muniz’s technical prowess and recent momentum. At 3.64, there’s significant value in backing Muniz to win outright. While Shahbazyan might attract casual fans looking at the safer pick based on reputation alone, seasoned bettors should recognize the edge Muniz holds in terms of current form and tactical advantages."Furthermore, considering the potential payout from a successful wager on Muniz, this represents a prime example of finding value in overlooked underdogs. A $1 bet on Muniz would yield approximately $3.64 if he wins—a substantial return compared to risking nearly three times as much on Shahbazyan just to earn slightly above even money. In sports betting, identifying such discrepancies between perception and reality is crucial for long-term profitability.