Ivan Buchinger vs Richie Smullen — Qwen betting tip 04 October 2025.

When analyzing the matchup between Richie Smullen and Ivan Buchinger, the first thing that stands out is the betting odds. Richie Smullen enters the bout as a clear favorite with odds of 1.67, while Ivan Buchinger is listed as the underdog at 2.10. These odds suggest that the bookmakers see Smullen as having a higher probability of winning, but the question remains: is this truly a profitable bet to make?
Richie Smullen has carved out a reputation for his well-rounded skill set, particularly his grappling acumen. With a background in wrestling and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Smullen excels in controlling opponents on the mat. His ability to dictate the pace of a fight through takedowns and positional dominance makes him a formidable opponent in the cage. In his recent outings, Smullen has demonstrated an improved striking game, which adds another layer to his versatility. However, his tendency to engage in prolonged ground battles could leave him vulnerable against a savvy striker or submission specialist like Buchinger.
On the other side, Ivan Buchinger brings a wealth of experience and a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu to the table. Known for his dangerous submission game, Buchinger has secured victories via submissions in a significant portion of his career wins. This poses a direct threat to Smullen, who might be overconfident in his own grappling abilities. Moreover, Buchinger’s striking has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly when he employs counter-punching tactics. At odds of 2.10, Buchinger represents an intriguing value bet, especially if he can exploit any lapses in Smullen’s defense.
One critical factor to consider is the stylistic matchup. Smullen’s pressure-heavy approach could work against him if Buchinger remains composed and avoids being dragged into a grappling exchange. If Buchinger can maintain distance and use his striking to set up opportunities for takedowns or submissions, he has a real chance to pull off the upset. Conversely, if Smullen can close the distance effectively and impose his will on the ground, his path to victory becomes much clearer.","These fighters have never faced each other before, which adds an element of unpredictability. However, their past performances offer some clues. Smullen has been more consistent in recent years, with a higher win rate against comparable opponents. Buchinger, while still dangerous, has shown signs of decline in terms of durability and adaptability against younger, faster opponents. This slight edge in consistency gives Smullen a marginal advantage heading into the bout.