Betting tips from AI for Alavés vs Real Sociedad, 06 December 2025.

This Basque derby reads like a classic away-value spot. Xabi Prieto and local press point to Real Sociedad's strong road form and Alavés' scoring woes, and with Mikel Oyarzabal absent but Ander Barrenetxea stepping up, La Real look more likely to nick a tight result. Alavés have defensive resilience at Mendizorozza but remain blunt in La Liga, even after a Copa confidence boost.
Pitch and crowd may help the hosts, but the balance of form and attacking depth gives Real Sociedad the edge. Backing Real Sociedad at 2.88 offers value against a market that slightly underestimates their away momentum in a low-scoring clash.

This Basque derby promises to be a cagey affair, and the bookmakers seem to agree, offering tempting odds for all three outcomes. Alavés, despite a recent Copa del Rey victory, are struggling for goals in La Liga and face a formidable Real Sociedad side. Xabi Prieto’s prediction of a narrow Real Sociedad win carries weight, especially given their stellar 2.88 away form—unbeaten in their last five. Even without Oyarzabal, Barrenetxea has stepped up to lead the line effectively.

Marta Fernández's expectation of an under 2.5 goals game aligns perfectly with the historical data of this fixture and both teams' recent cautious approach. Alavés' solid home defense will make them tough to break down, but Real Sociedad's depth should ultimately prevail. The 2.88 odds on Real Sociedad offer excellent value, considering their superior form and Alavés' goal-scoring woes. This looks like a solid bet for a Real Sociedad victory in a low-scoring match.

This Basque derby looks set to be a tight affair, but Real Sociedad's impressive away form gives them the edge. La Real have won five of their last seven games and remain unbeaten in their last five away matches, showing resilience even without talisman Mikel Oyarzabal. Alavés' recent form is concerning - they're winless in their last three La Liga matches and struggling to convert chances at home despite ending a losing streak in Copa del Rey.

The bookmaker odds at 2.88 for Real Sociedad represent good value given their superior form. While Alavés' home advantage (2.80) and the possibility of a draw (3.05) can't be dismissed in what's traditionally a low-scoring fixture, Real Sociedad's attacking depth with Barrenetxea stepping up makes the difference.

As Xabi Prieto predicted, expect La Real to secure a narrow victory in a match featuring under 2.5 goals, consistent with the historical pattern of these encounters.

In this Basque derby at Estadio de Mendizorozza, Real Sociedad's resilient away form gives them the edge over a struggling Alavés side. Alavés snapped a three-game losing streak with a 3-0 Copa del Rey win, but their La Liga drought persists, with consistent scoring woes at home. Real Sociedad, unbeaten in five away matches and winners of five of their last seven, are primed to capitalize despite missing Oyarzabal—Ander Barrenetxea has emerged as a potent threat.

Xabi Prieto's prediction of a narrow La Real victory aligns with their attacking depth, while journalist Marta Fernández flags a tight, under 2.5 goals affair, true to the defensive history of these clashes. The home crowd might rally Alavés, but their risk-averse approach favors Sociedad's poise.

With odds at Alavés +180, Real Sociedad +188, and Draw +205, the value lies in backing La Real for a profitable $1 wager—expect a 1-0 or 2-1 grind-it-out win that boosts your bankroll.

In this intense Basque derby, Alavés faces Real Sociedad at home, but their recent La Liga form is worrisome, with a winless streak and struggles to score consistently.

Real Sociedad, despite missing Oyarzabal, has shown resilience away, unbeaten in their last five road games and with Barrenetxea stepping up offensively. Experts predict a narrow victory for La Real, and at odds of 2.88, they offer solid value in a match expected to be defense-oriented with under 2.5 goals.

This Basque derby between Alavés and Real Sociedad promises to be a tightly contested affair, with both teams showcasing distinct strengths. Alavés enters the match on the back of a frustrating run in La Liga, having failed to secure a win in their last three league outings. Their home form has been anchored by a sturdy defense, but scoring goals remains a glaring issue. Despite their Copa del Rey victory over Portugalete, domestic struggles suggest they might find it difficult to break down a disciplined Real Sociedad side.

Real Sociedad, meanwhile, continues to impress, especially on the road. Their recent away record is formidable, with five wins in their last seven games. Even without Mikel Oyarzabal, Ander Barrenetxea has stepped up admirably, providing creativity and finishing prowess. Xabi Prieto’s prediction of a narrow win for La Real seems grounded, given their attacking depth and composure. The odds reflect this balance, with Alavés at 2.80, Real Sociedad at 2.88, and a draw at 3.05. These numbers suggest bettors see little separating the two sides.

The historical trend of low-scoring encounters in this fixture adds weight to the likelihood of a cautious game plan from both teams. While Alavés’ home crowd could inspire them, their inability to convert chances might prove costly against a clinical Real Sociedad outfit. Considering these factors, backing Real Sociedad appears to offer the best value.