Betting tips from AI for Allen Frye Jr. vs Guilherme Pat, 14 December 2025.

Undefeated heavyweight Allen Frye Jr. arrives on a three-fight knockout tear and explosive athleticism, while Guilherme Pat brings sharp combinations and a grappling edge. Forebet backing Frye at 68% and his recent quick stoppage of Justin Frazier suggest the American's power can dictate range and timing, forcing Pat into reactive grappling early.
The market prices Pat as the favorite at 1.58, but Frye sits at attractive value of 2.50. I expect Frye to find a finish or control striking exchanges long enough to earn the win — a $1 bet on Frye at 2.50 is the profitable play.

This prelims banger at UFC Fight Night pits two undefeated heavyweights against each other, but the smart money appears to be on the underdog, Allen Frye Jr. While Guilherme Pat, priced at 1.58, is the bookmaker's favorite, the narrative and advanced analytics paint a different picture. Frye, at 2.50, is a 6-0 American powerhouse riding a devastating knockout tear, including a quick first-round stoppage in his last outing.

MMA Mystic highlights his 'raw one-punch knockout power,' and critically, questions Pat's ability to finish a 'UFC-caliber Frye.' Furthermore, algorithms from Forebet give Frye a commanding 68% chance to win, a stark contrast to his underdog odds. This suggests significant value. Frye's explosive athleticism and proven finishing ability against a Pat who might lack the necessary 'pop' make Frye the compelling pick. His path to victory is clear: land that powerful shot.

This heavyweight clash between undefeated prospects presents intriguing value. Allen Frye Jr. enters as the underdog at 2.50 despite his perfect 6-0 record and devastating knockout power. His last three victories coming via KO, including a first-round demolition of Justin Frazier, showcase his explosive finishing ability.

Guilherme Pat, while technically sound with sharp combinations and superior grappling, hasn't faced UFC-caliber opposition that can match Frye's raw power. The Brazilian is favored at 1.58, but this seems an overvaluation given the matchup dynamics.

The analytics strongly favor Frye, with Forebet's algorithm giving him a 68% win probability – contradicting the bookmaker odds. In heavyweight MMA, one-punch knockout artists like Frye always carry upset potential, especially against opponents who haven't proven they can absorb such power.

The value clearly lies with Frye's 2.50 odds in what MMA Mystic calls a "classic heavyweight collision." Expect Frye's superior athleticism and finishing instinct to find Pat's chin.

In this heavyweight prelims clash at UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas, undefeated prospects Allen Frye Jr. and Guilherme Pat bring explosive styles that promise fireworks. Frye, the 6-0 American powerhouse from Brunson's MMA, has been on a knockout tear, stopping his last three opponents inside the distance—including a blistering first-round finish of Justin Frazier in September. His raw one-punch power and athleticism make him a nightmare for heavyweights, and algorithms like Forebet echo this, giving him a 68% edge to win.

Pat, the 5-0 Brazilian finisher, counters with sharp combinations and a grappling advantage, but questions linger if he has the pop to drop a UFC-caliber slugger like Frye in their debuts. The odds reflect this tilt: Frye at 2.50 offers value for the underdog, while Pat sits at 1.58 as the favorite. Draw is a longshot at 50.00, but these styles scream finish.

Betting $1 on Frye at +150 could net $1.50 profit if his power prevails in what MMA Mystic calls a 'classic heavyweight collision.' Frye's momentum and algorithmic backing make him the smart play for profitability.

This heavyweight clash between undefeated prospects promises fireworks. Allen Frye Jr. (2.50) brings ferocious one-punch knockout power, riding a three-fight KO tear. Guilherme Pat (1.58) offers a more well-rounded game with sharp combinations and a grappling edge.

Forebet's algorithm heavily favors Frye with a 68% win probability, highlighting his explosive athleticism. While Pat's skills are dangerous, the key question is whether he has the stopping power to finish a UFC-caliber opponent like Frye, who has proven his ability to end fights instantly.

Given the value in the underdog odds and the clear path to victory via his raw power, Frye is the pick to land the decisive blow and remain undefeated.

This heavyweight clash between Allen Frye Jr. and Guilherme Pat shapes up as a classic striker-versus-grappler battle, but the smart money leans toward the American slugger. Frye's unblemished 6-0 record is no fluke—he's demonstrated devastating one-punch knockout power in his last three fights, including a first-round demolition of Justin Frazier. The odds reflect confidence in Frye's explosiveness, with bookmakers offering him at 2.50 compared to Pat's 1.58. While Pat brings a perfect 5-0 record and solid grappling credentials, questions linger about whether he has the raw power to put away an opponent like Frye, who thrives under pressure.

MMA Mystic's prediction of fireworks feels spot-on, given Frye’s penchant for quick finishes and Pat’s technical striking. However, Frye's 68% win probability according to Forebet underscores his edge in this matchup. Pat’s Brazilian jiu-jitsu might test Frye early, but if the fight stays standing, Frye’s athleticism and punching dynamism could prove decisive. Add to that Frye’s home-nation advantage fighting out of the U.S., and the stage seems set for another highlight-reel performance.

At 2.50, Frye offers excellent value for bettors seeking profit. His ability to end fights quickly makes him a safer pick than risking it on Pat’s narrower skill set or the astronomically high 50.00 draw odds.