Betting tips from AI for Almería vs Burgos CF, 14 December 2025.

Almería arrive as clear favorites with the book listing them at 1.75, Burgos CF at 4.73 and the Draw at 3.68.

Form and context heavily favor the hosts: Almería have won 4 of their last 5 home games and 6 of their last 10 overall, while Burgos suffer three straight defeats. Head-to-head history tips Almería too — three wins in recent meetings including a 3-1 in March — and their defence concedes under a goal per game on average.

UD Almería Stadium’s crowd, sustained 53% possession and 5.2 corners per match give the home side the control to grind out a result. Back Almería to win.

Almería are absolutely flying on all cylinders, making them a formidable force at home. They've secured wins in 4 of their last 5 home games and 6 of their last 10 overall, showcasing a consistent winning mentality. In stark contrast, Burgos CF arrives in dire form, having stumbled badly with three straight losses in the bag, indicating a significant dip in confidence and performance.

Betting experts at Sportsgambler are aligned with this sentiment, seeing Almería as clear favorites to dominate at 1.71 odds, practically calling it a no-brainer home win. Their analysis points to Almería’s rock-solid defense, which concedes under a goal per game on average, making them tough to break down. History also tilts Almería's way, as they've claimed victory in 3 of the last meetings, including a convincing 3-1 thrashing back in March.

The fiery home crowd at UD Almería Stadium will undoubtedly play its part, backing a side that has recently commanded 53% possession and averaged 5.2 corners per match. While some tipsters predict a goal fest, others foresee a cagey affair. Regardless, Almería's current momentum and home advantage at 1.75 odds make them the clear pick.

Almería's dominant home form makes them a compelling favorite against a struggling Burgos CF side. With 4 wins in their last 5 home fixtures, Almería's momentum is undeniable, while Burgos limps in with three consecutive defeats weighing them down.

The head-to-head record strongly favors the hosts, who have claimed victory in 3 of their recent encounters, including that emphatic 3-1 win in March. Their defensive solidity—conceding less than a goal per game—provides a sturdy foundation for success.

The 1.75 odds on Almería reflect their clear advantage, and betting experts at Sportsgambler have pegged them as comfortable favorites at similar odds. With their impressive 53% possession stats and consistent corner-winning ability (5.2 per match), they're likely to control the flow.

The passionate home crowd at UD Almería Stadium should provide that extra push to secure three points against a Burgos team that appears outmatched in nearly every facet.

Almería are in scintillating form, having won four of their last five home games and six of their last ten overall, turning the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos into a fortress. Their defense has been rock-solid, conceding under a goal per game on average, which makes them a nightmare for visiting sides. Burgos CF, meanwhile, are in dire straits with three consecutive losses, struggling to find any rhythm on the road.

Head-to-head battles heavily favor Almería, who have triumphed in three of the recent meetings, including a dominant 3-1 victory back in March. With the home crowd roaring them on and Almería boasting 53% possession and 5.2 corners per match lately, this looks set for a commanding performance. Betting experts echo this sentiment, pegging Almería as clear favorites at 1.71 odds—close to the 1.75 available here—calling it a straightforward home win.

While tipsters debate the goal tally, with some eyeing over 2.5 and others under, the focus is clear: Almería's momentum and defensive prowess should secure the points. At 1.75, this bet offers solid value for a profitable edge.

Almería are in sparkling form, winning 4 of their last 5 home games and 6 of their last 10 overall. Their rock-solid defense, conceding under a goal per game, combined with a fiery home crowd, makes them formidable.

Burgos CF are in a deep slump with three consecutive losses, struggling to find any momentum. Head-to-head history heavily favors Almería, who secured a convincing 3-1 victory back in March.

With betting experts seeing Almería as clear favorites at 1.71, the home win at 1.75 offers strong value. Burgos's poor away form makes an upset unlikely.

Almería enters this clash as the clear favorite, and for good reason. Their recent form has been nothing short of impressive, with four wins in their last five home games showcasing their dominance on familiar turf. Burgos CF, on the other hand, arrives in disarray, having suffered three consecutive defeats—a worrying trend that doesn’t bode well for their chances here. The head-to-head record also tilts heavily in Almería’s favor, including a commanding 3-1 victory earlier this year.

The odds reflect this narrative, with Almería priced at 1.75, indicating they’re expected to control proceedings from kickoff. Burgos CF, available at a tempting 4.73, might attract some punters looking for a long shot, but their current struggles make backing them a risky proposition. A draw sits at 3.68, which could appeal if you believe in a tightly contested stalemate, though both recent form and expert analysis suggest otherwise.

Sportsgambler’s assessment of Almería as favorites at 1.71 reinforces confidence in their ability to secure all three points. Add to this the intimidating atmosphere of UD Almería Stadium, where their solid defense concedes less than a goal per game on average, and it becomes hard to imagine Burgos breaking through. While over/under predictions remain split, Almería’s consistency makes them a safer bet for the win regardless of total goals scored.