Betting tips from AI for Antonio Plazibat vs Nordine Mahieddine, 13 December 2025.

Arnhem will be electric and this feels like a hometown statement night for Antonio Plazibat. Analysts note his forward pressure and one-shot power, and the crowd plus a pro-Plazibat commentary narrative can tip close rounds his way. Bookmakers make him a clear favorite at 1.60, which reflects the expectation he controls inside exchanges and lands fight-ending strikes despite a long layoff.

Nordine Mahieddine arrives with momentum and a dangerous kicking game—Semmy Schilt’s praise and recent highlight finishes show he can win by keeping distance and countering. His line at 2.20 is tempting, but stylistically Plazibat’s pressure and home-edge give him the edge. I lean Plazibat to win this rubber match; bet the favorite for a higher probability return on a $1 stake.

Plazibat at 1.60 is a solid favorite, and for good reason. Despite a layoff, his "forward pressure and knockout power" are legendary, as veteran analyst Luke Thomas points out. This isn't just another fight; Plazibat has publicly vowed a "return-to-form statement" as he chases the Last Heavyweight Standing tournament, adding immense motivation. The GelreDome crowd in Arnhem will be wildly pro-Plazibat, creating an electric atmosphere that could genuinely "swing close rounds his way" and amplify every big exchange, potentially even influencing officiating.

While Nordine Mahieddine (2.20) comes in with momentum, boasting back-to-back GLORY wins and a highlight-reel head-kick, he faces a monumental task. Former heavyweight Semmy Schilt praises Mahieddine’s timing and kicks, suggesting he needs to keep distance. However, Plazibat’s relentless pressure and "one-punch finishing threat" are designed to negate such tactics. The stylistic clash is clear: Plazibat's power vs. Mahieddine's movement. In an environment fueled by "backstage tension" and a "trilogy narrative," the home advantage and Plazibat's stated intent make him the smart play to deliver a knockout blow.

This Plazibat-Mahieddine trilogy bout has all the makings of a classic striker's duel. Plazibat enters as the 1.60 favorite largely due to his devastating knockout power and forward pressure, which Luke Thomas correctly identified as his primary weapons. While Mahieddine's recent momentum is impressive - coming off back-to-back GLORY wins and that spectacular head-kick finish - Plazibat's one-punch finishing ability presents a constant threat.

The stylistic clash favors Plazibat in a crucial way: his pressure fighting will likely neutralize Mahieddine's preferred distance management. Add in the heavily pro-Plazibat crowd at the GelreDome (which could influence officiating as noted by the Dutch commentator), and the Croatian has multiple paths to victory.

Mahieddine at 2.20 offers decent underdog value, but his success depends entirely on maintaining perfect distance and timing. Against Plazibat's relentless forward movement and knockout power, combined with his stated motivation to make a statement for the Last Heavyweight Standing tournament, Mahieddine faces an uphill battle despite his technical skills.

In this electrifying trilogy clash at the GelreDome, Antonio Plazibat (-167) faces Nordine Mahieddine (+120) in a battle that could define the heavyweight landscape. Plazibat, the Croatian knockout machine, returns from a layoff with fire in his eyes, vowing to reclaim his spot in the Last Heavyweight Standing tournament. His relentless forward pressure and one-punch power, as noted by veteran analyst Luke Thomas, make him a nightmare for opponents who can't match his intensity.

Mahieddine rides a wave of momentum with back-to-back GLORY triumphs, capped by a stunning head-kick KO. Experts like Semmy Schilt highlight his elite timing and kicking game, suggesting he could frustrate Plazibat by circling and countering from range. Yet, the stylistic edges tilt toward Plazibat: his ability to close distance and land bombs in the pocket could overwhelm Nordine's movement, especially with the Arnhem crowd roaring him on—a factor Dutch commentators say might sway tight rounds.

Backstage tension from media day adds extra spice, but Plazibat's home-soil advantage and promotional hype position him to dictate the pace. This isn't just a fight; it's a statement. Betting the favorite here offers solid value in a matchup primed for early fireworks.

Antonio Plazibat is the betting favorite at 1.60, with analysts like Luke Thomas citing his forward pressure and knockout power. Yet, Nordine Mahieddine enters at 2.20 riding back-to-back GLORY wins and a highlight-reel finish, backed by Semmy Schilt's praise for his timing and kicking arsenal.

The GelreDome crowd will be pro-Plazibat, but Mahieddine's movement and combination striking could turn this into a chess match. With Plazibat coming off a layoff and Mahieddine's momentum, the underdog offers value for a strategic upset in this heated trilogy bout.

Antonio Plazibat enters this bout as the clear favorite with odds of 1.60, and for good reason. His forward pressure and knockout power have long been his calling cards, and against a striker like Nordine Mahieddine, these attributes could prove decisive. Plazibat’s recent layoff is a concern, but the hype surrounding his return suggests he’s motivated to make a statement in front of what will be a raucous pro-Plazibat crowd in Arnhem. The Croatian’s ability to close distance and force exchanges will test Mahieddine’s defensive resolve early and often.

On the other hand, Mahieddine, with odds of 2.20, has momentum on his side after back-to-back wins, including a highlight-reel head-kick finish. His kicking arsenal and movement-based style offer a clear tactical counter to Plazibat’s aggression. If he can keep the fight at range and pick his spots carefully, he has a real chance to exploit openings. However, the stylistic battle leans slightly toward Plazibat given his relentless pressure, which could overwhelm Mahieddine over time.

The atmosphere in the GelreDome could also play a role, with the home crowd likely influencing both fighters’ energy levels and potentially close scoring rounds. While Mahieddine has the tools to win, Plazibat’s physicality and determination seem better suited to dictating the pace of this trilogy bout.