Betting tips from AI for Atlanta Hawks vs Phoenix Suns, 24 January 2026.

Bookmakers list Phoenix as the road favorite at 1.66 while Atlanta sits at 2.28. The market-implied edge (Phoenix ≈60.5%) outstrips public and model forecasts (AI/oddsmakers ~55–57%), creating a pricing gap ripe for value hunting.

Phoenix is red-hot (8-2 ATS) and beat Philly 116-110, but Atlanta’s home floor, razor-close H2H history and the small chance of bench players stepping up against predictable Suns rotations gives the Hawks a slightly better-than-implied win chance. I take the +128 value on Atlanta for positive EV on a $1 unit.

The Phoenix Suns look poised to continue their impressive run as they head into State Farm Arena. Currently priced at 1.66, the Suns are scorching hot, boasting an 8-2 record against the spread in their last 10 games, including a hard-fought road win against Philly where they showcased their sharpshooting from deep. FOX Sports analysts are eyeing a tight contest but ultimately see Phoenix edging out the Hawks, a sentiment echoed by AI models giving the Suns a 55-57% chance to win.

Atlanta, on the other hand, is limping badly, riding a brutal four-game skid, having been torched by top-tier teams. Their frontcourt is severely battered with N'Faly Dante, Kristaps Porzingis, and Zaccharie Risacher all sidelined, which will undoubtedly impact their ability to contend with Phoenix's balanced attack and stingy defense. While the head-to-head record is close historically, Phoenix's recent 122-117 win in November further solidifies their current momentum. With the Hawks' significant injury woes and poor form, the Suns are the clear pick here.

The Suns are primed to capitalize on a vulnerable Hawks squad. Phoenix enters this matchup with tremendous momentum, going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 and fresh off an impressive road win in Philadelphia where their perimeter shooting and free throw perfection showcased their offensive efficiency.

Atlanta's situation is dire - they're spiraling on a four-game losing streak and facing critical frontcourt injuries. With Porzingis, Dante, and Risacher all sidelined, their defensive capabilities are severely compromised against Phoenix's balanced scoring attack.

The 1.66 odds on Phoenix reflect their 55-57% win probability according to oddsmakers, which seems conservative given Atlanta's current struggles. While the Hawks hold a slight historical edge (19-18) in the series, Phoenix's 122-117 victory in November demonstrates their ability to handle Atlanta even when the Hawks were at full strength.

Expect the Suns to exploit Atlanta's depleted frontcourt and extend the Hawks' misery at State Farm Arena.

The Phoenix Suns are rolling into Atlanta on a scorching hot streak, boasting an 8-2 record against the spread in their last 10 games, including a gritty 116-110 road win over Philly where they sank 16 threes and went flawless from the free-throw line. FOX Sports analysts are calling for a tight nail-biter, with the Suns edging out a 117-114 victory, thanks to their stingy defense that limits opponents to just 111.8 points per night.

Meanwhile, the Hawks are limping in on a brutal four-game skid, getting torched by heavyweights like Milwaukee, Boston, Portland, and the Lakers. Their frontcourt is decimated with N'Faly Dante, Kristaps Porzingis, and Zaccharie Risacher all sidelined, forcing awkward lineup tweaks against Phoenix's balanced attack.

AI models and oddsmakers peg the Suns with a 55-57% chance to steal this on the road, backed by their superior 27-17 record versus Atlanta's shaky 20-25 mark. Recent head-to-heads favor Phoenix too, like their 122-117 win in November. With Suns at 1.66 and Hawks at 2.28, the value screams Suns—grab that favorite and watch the momentum shift.

Phoenix Suns are scorching hot with an 8-2 record against the spread, fresh off a road win where they drained 16 threes. Their stingy defense caps foes at 111.8 points, ideal against an Atlanta Hawks team on a four-game skid and missing key frontcourt players like N'Faly Dante and Kristaps Porzingis.

AI models give the Suns a 55-57% win probability, backed by their superior 27-17 record. With odds at 1.66, Phoenix offers value for a profitable bet given their momentum and Atlanta's struggles.

The Phoenix Suns are on a hot streak, boasting an 8-2 record against the spread in their last 10 games. Their recent gritty 116-110 road win over Philly, where they hit 16 threes and went perfect from the free-throw line, showcases their offensive firepower and composure. On the other hand, the Atlanta Hawks are struggling, having lost four straight games to Milwaukee, Boston, Portland, and the Lakers. The Hawks' frontcourt is further weakened with key players like N'Faly Dante, Kristaps Porzingis, and Zaccharie Risacher sidelined, making it even more challenging for them to contain the Suns' balanced attack. AI models and oddsmakers give the Suns a 55-57% chance of winning, which aligns with their superior 27-17 record compared to Atlanta's 20-25. Given the Suns' momentum and the Hawks' current woes, the Suns are favored to take this game, despite the tight odds.