Betting tips from AI for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets, 04 January 2026.

This is a spot game that reads like a blowout on paper. Stat Salt’s 23–13 projection even if Josh Allen sits, Buffalo’s 4–0 recent sweep of the Jets by 18.8 points and the Bills’ emotional home finale all push momentum toward Buffalo. New York’s 3–13 record, four-game skid and the 153–46 combined deficit make them a clear mismatch.
The market reflects that: Buffalo are heavy favorites at 1.25 while the Jets check in at 4.04. Even with Allen’s status uncertain, Mitchell Trubisky and a superior defense should handle a cratering Jets unit. Bet Buffalo for the most profitable, lowest-variance play.

The Buffalo Bills are an undeniable force heading into this matchup against the New York Jets. Despite potential uncertainty surrounding Josh Allen's nagging foot injury, the consensus among analysts is a commanding Bills victory. Stat Salt predicts a 23-13 win, highlighting Buffalo's 4-0 dominance over the Jets recently, winning by an average of 18.8 points. Sports Chat Place echoes this, expecting a double-digit win, citing the Bills' remarkable 16-game home winning streak against losing teams. The Jets, currently 3-13 and in 'full tank mode,' have been obliterated in their last four outings, with a combined 153-46 deficit. Their offense and defense are in shambles. Even if Mitchell Trubisky steps in for Allen, the Jets' woes are so profound that Buffalo's pursuit of better playoff seeding should easily overcome them. Historically, the Bills have owned the early game, scoring first and winning halves in their last nine against the Jets. The heavy 1.25 odds for Buffalo are justified; this game is less about the Bills' perfection and more about the Jets' utter collapse.

The Bills-Jets matchup presents a lopsided opportunity despite the hefty 1.25 line on Buffalo. Even with questions surrounding Josh Allen's foot injury, Buffalo's dominance over New York cannot be ignored – they've won four straight by nearly 19 points per game against this Jets squad.

New York has completely imploded, losing their last four games by a staggering 153-46 margin. At 3-13, they're in full tank mode while Buffalo still has playoff positioning to fight for. This emotional final game at Highmark Stadium before moving to their new facility adds extra motivation for the Bills.

Even if Trubisky steps in for Allen, he should handle the Jets' defense effectively. Buffalo's 16 consecutive home wins against losing teams speaks volumes. The Bills' pattern of scoring first and winning halves in their last nine against the Jets makes Buffalo the clear choice despite the heavy juice. When a team is being outscored by 26.8 points per game over their last four contests like the Jets, there's simply no value in the 4.04 underdog line.

The Buffalo Bills are primed to dominate the New York Jets in this AFC East showdown at Highmark Stadium, a fitting finale before their move to the new digs. Despite the nagging uncertainty around Josh Allen's foot injury, Stat Salt's analysts foresee a 23-13 Bills rout, even if he's sidelined, pointing to Buffalo's staggering 4-0 record against the Jets with an average margin of 18.8 points. The Bills have been unstoppable at home, boasting 16 straight wins over sub-.500 teams like this dismal 3-13 Jets squad, who's cratering on a four-game skid with a brutal 153-46 points deficit.

New York's in full tank mode, obliterated on both sides of the ball, while Buffalo chases better playoff seeding. Even if Mitchell Trubisky steps in, he should outshine the Jets' offensive woes. Historically, the Bills own the early edge, scoring first and winning halves in their last nine against New York, who routinely flop first quarters in divisional matchups. Sports Chat Place echoes this, backing Buffalo by double digits.

With the Bills at 1.25 and Jets at 4.04, the juice is clearly on Buffalo, but for a sharp bettor eyeing value, the heavy favoritism underscores the lopsided matchup. This isn't just a win—it's a statement.

The Buffalo Bills host the New York Jets in a classic AFC East showdown, with Buffalo heavily favored at 1.25. Despite uncertainty around Josh Allen's foot injury, analysts from Stat Salt and Sports Chat Place forecast a Bills rout, citing their 4-0 dominance over the Jets by an average 18.8 points and 16 straight home wins against losing teams.

The Jets are in full tank mode at 3-13, on a four-game skid with a combined 153-46 deficit. Even if Mitchell Trubisky starts, he's expected to outshine the Jets' woes, as Buffalo eyes better playoff seeding in this emotional Highmark Stadium finale.

With the Bills historically scoring first and winning halves in their last nine against New York, and the Jets struggling in AFC East matchups, the smart money is on Buffalo to cover and win convincingly, making 1.25 a valuable bet for a near-certain victory.

Buffalo’s recent dominance over the Jets is impossible to ignore, with a 4-0 record by an average margin of 18.8 points in their last meetings. Even if Josh Allen sits out due to his foot injury, the Bills’ depth and home-field advantage make them formidable. Mitchell Trubisky stepping in wouldn’t drastically alter Buffalo’s offensive efficiency against a Jets defense that has been obliterated for 153 points over their last four games.

The betting odds reflect this narrative, with Buffalo listed at 1.25, signaling they’re heavily favored despite uncertainty around Allen’s status. Meanwhile, the Jets sit at 4.04, tempting bettors who might think New York can capitalize on Buffalo’s quarterback situation. However, history shows the Jets struggle early and often in AFC East matchups, particularly in Buffalo where the Bills have won 16 straight against losing teams.

Given the context—a Bills team fighting for playoff seeding versus a Jets squad in full rebuild mode—this game feels like another lopsided affair. The line shifting slightly toward New York hints at public doubt about Allen playing, but it doesn’t outweigh Buffalo’s consistent superiority. Betting on the Bills remains the smart play here.