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Betting tips from AI for Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev, 23 January 2026.
AI Consensus
1.80
Away win
6 of 6 AI models pick Andrey Rublev to win at
1.80
ChatGPT tip
Andrey Rublev win
1.80
ChatGPT prediction for Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev, 23 January 2026.
Rublev enters this Australian Open clash as the safer play: models put him around a 59% match win chance and he’s installed at 1.70, while Cerundolo is the underdog at 2.27.
The decisive edges are serve and big-match experience. Rublev’s superior serve and heavier baseline game suit Melbourne’s quick hard courts and should produce cheap points that pressure Cerundolo into error-prone defense. Grand Slam pedigree favors Rublev too, and early-2026 form is on his side (2-1 vs Cerundolo’s 0-1). Cerundolo’s 3-1 H2H lead matters, but only one hard-court meeting — not enough to offset surface, serve and recent momentum.
Prediction: back Andrey Rublev to win; the market price at 1.70 reflects a realistic edge and the highest expected-value single-dollar bet here.
The decisive edges are serve and big-match experience. Rublev’s superior serve and heavier baseline game suit Melbourne’s quick hard courts and should produce cheap points that pressure Cerundolo into error-prone defense. Grand Slam pedigree favors Rublev too, and early-2026 form is on his side (2-1 vs Cerundolo’s 0-1). Cerundolo’s 3-1 H2H lead matters, but only one hard-court meeting — not enough to offset surface, serve and recent momentum.
Prediction: back Andrey Rublev to win; the market price at 1.70 reflects a realistic edge and the highest expected-value single-dollar bet here.
Gemini tip
Andrey Rublev win
1.80
Gemini prediction for Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev, 23 January 2026.
Andrey Rublev enters this Australian Open clash as the clear favorite, reflected in his 1.70 odds compared to Francisco Cerundolo's 2.27. Prediction models further solidify this, giving Rublev a commanding 59% win probability. His powerful baseline game and superior serving ability are expected to be decisive on Melbourne's fast hard courts, where he can generate critical 'cheap points' that Cerundolo's serve might struggle to match. Experts anticipate Rublev will relentlessly pressure the Argentine, forcing errors.
While Francisco Cerundolo holds a surprising 3-1 career lead in their head-to-head, it's crucial to note that only one of those was on hard courts—an indoor event in Paris. Rublev’s extensive Grand Slam pedigree, with 10 major quarterfinal appearances, far outweighs Cerundolo's limited deep runs outside of clay. Furthermore, Rublev's confident 2-1 start to 2026 contrasts sharply with Cerundolo's 0-1 record, suggesting a significant momentum advantage. All signs point to Rublev capitalizing on the conditions and his superior form to secure the win.
While Francisco Cerundolo holds a surprising 3-1 career lead in their head-to-head, it's crucial to note that only one of those was on hard courts—an indoor event in Paris. Rublev’s extensive Grand Slam pedigree, with 10 major quarterfinal appearances, far outweighs Cerundolo's limited deep runs outside of clay. Furthermore, Rublev's confident 2-1 start to 2026 contrasts sharply with Cerundolo's 0-1 record, suggesting a significant momentum advantage. All signs point to Rublev capitalizing on the conditions and his superior form to secure the win.
Claude tip
Andrey Rublev win
1.80
Claude prediction for Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev, 23 January 2026.
Andrey Rublev enters this Australian Open clash with significant advantages that should propel him past Francisco Cerundolo. The Russian's superior serving prowess is particularly valuable on Melbourne's fast hard courts, allowing him to generate free points that Cerundolo simply cannot match. While the Argentine leads their head-to-head 3-1, those victories came in different conditions, and Rublev's extensive Grand Slam experience (10 major quarterfinals) gives him a mental edge in this high-pressure environment.
Rublev's recent form also tells an important story - his 2-1 match record and 5-3 set advantage to start 2026 shows renewed confidence after a challenging 2025 season. Meanwhile, Cerundolo has struggled early this year with a winless 0-1 record. The odds at 1.70 for Rublev versus 2.27 for Cerundolo accurately reflect the gap between these players on this surface. Expect Rublev's aggressive baseline game to rush Cerundolo into defensive errors throughout the match.
Rublev's recent form also tells an important story - his 2-1 match record and 5-3 set advantage to start 2026 shows renewed confidence after a challenging 2025 season. Meanwhile, Cerundolo has struggled early this year with a winless 0-1 record. The odds at 1.70 for Rublev versus 2.27 for Cerundolo accurately reflect the gap between these players on this surface. Expect Rublev's aggressive baseline game to rush Cerundolo into defensive errors throughout the match.
Grok tip
Andrey Rublev win
1.80
Grok prediction for Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev, 23 January 2026.
In the Australian Open men's singles, Andrey Rublev faces Francisco Cerundolo on Melbourne's fast hard courts, where serve and baseline power reign supreme. Rublev, ranked 15th, enters with renewed confidence after a 2-1 start to 2026, boasting a 5-3 set edge that signals his aggressive game is clicking. Prediction models peg him at a 59% win probability, aligning with the odds at 1.70 for Rublev versus 2.27 for Cerundolo.
Rublev's superior serving could generate cheap points, pressuring Cerundolo's weaker delivery and forcing errors from the baseline. While Cerundolo leads their head-to-head 3-1, including a hard-court win in Paris 2024, Rublev's Grand Slam pedigree—10 major quarterfinals and three Aussie Open runs—gives him the edge in high-stakes play. Cerundolo's sluggish 0-1 season opener pales against Rublev's momentum.
Experts foresee Rublev taking the first set (55% chance) and keeping the match under 40.5 games. For bettors eyeing value, Rublev's form and surface fit make him the profitable pick at these odds—back him to advance.
Rublev's superior serving could generate cheap points, pressuring Cerundolo's weaker delivery and forcing errors from the baseline. While Cerundolo leads their head-to-head 3-1, including a hard-court win in Paris 2024, Rublev's Grand Slam pedigree—10 major quarterfinals and three Aussie Open runs—gives him the edge in high-stakes play. Cerundolo's sluggish 0-1 season opener pales against Rublev's momentum.
Experts foresee Rublev taking the first set (55% chance) and keeping the match under 40.5 games. For bettors eyeing value, Rublev's form and surface fit make him the profitable pick at these odds—back him to advance.
DeepSeek tip
Andrey Rublev win
1.80
DeepSeek prediction for Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev, 23 January 2026.
Andrey Rublev enters this Australian Open clash as the clear favorite, with betting odds at 1.70 reflecting his superior form and pedigree on hard courts. Experts highlight his powerful serve and aggressive baseline game as key advantages on Melbourne's fast surfaces, which should rush Francisco Cerundolo into errors.
While Cerundolo holds a career head-to-head edge, their only hard court meeting was a win for the Argentine, but Rublev's Grand Slam experience and renewed confidence in 2026 make him the sharper pick. Cerundolo's early-season struggles contrast with Rublev's 2-1 match record, suggesting the Russian is poised to control this encounter from the baseline.
While Cerundolo holds a career head-to-head edge, their only hard court meeting was a win for the Argentine, but Rublev's Grand Slam experience and renewed confidence in 2026 make him the sharper pick. Cerundolo's early-season struggles contrast with Rublev's 2-1 match record, suggesting the Russian is poised to control this encounter from the baseline.
Qwen tip
Andrey Rublev win
1.80
Qwen prediction for Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev, 23 January 2026.
In the upcoming Australian Open Men's Singles match, Andrey Rublev is favored with a 1.70 odds against Francisco Cerundolo. The Russian's superior serving ability and powerful baseline game are expected to give him a significant edge on Melbourne's fast hard courts. Analysts predict that Rublev's aggressive play will pressure Cerundolo into making errors, especially in these quicker conditions. Despite Cerundolo leading their overall head-to-head 3-1, their only meeting on hard courts was a close call, and Rublev's recent form and Grand Slam experience make him a strong favorite. Cerundolo's struggles early in the 2026 season, with a 0-1 match record, further suggest that Rublev is in a better position to secure the win.
Match News
# Australian Open Men's Singles: Cerundolo vs. Rublev
## Match Predictions & Expert Analysis
• Rublev favored across the board: Multiple prediction models give the 15th-ranked Russian a 59% win probability, with betting odds heavily backing him at -145 compared to Cerundolo's +110[1][2].
• Serve quality could be decisive: Analysts highlight Rublev's superior serving ability as a crucial advantage on Melbourne's fast hard courts, where he can generate cheap points that Cerundolo's weaker serve cannot match[3].
• Baseline aggression expected to trouble Cerundolo: Experts predict Rublev's powerful baseline game will rush the Argentine into errors and defensive lapses, particularly in these quicker conditions[3].
• First set lean toward Rublev: Prediction models give Rublev a 55% chance of winning the opening set, with the match expected to stay under 40.5 games[1].
## Head-to-Head Context
• Cerundolo holds career edge but on unfamiliar terrain: The Argentine leads their overall series 3-1 with recent victories, yet they've faced each other only once on hard courts—Cerundolo won that Paris indoor clash in 2024[4].
• Grand Slam experience favors Rublev: The Russian has reached 10 major quarterfinals including three Australian Open appearances, while Cerundolo has never advanced past the fourth round of a Grand Slam outside Roland Garros[4].
## Recent Form
• Cerundolo struggles early in 2026: The 21st-ranked Argentine opened the season with a 0-1 match record and 1-2 set record[2].
• Rublev shows renewed confidence: The Russian has posted a 2-1 match record to start 2026 with a 5-3 set advantage, suggesting improved form compared to his difficult 2025[2][3].
## Match Predictions & Expert Analysis
• Rublev favored across the board: Multiple prediction models give the 15th-ranked Russian a 59% win probability, with betting odds heavily backing him at -145 compared to Cerundolo's +110[1][2].
• Serve quality could be decisive: Analysts highlight Rublev's superior serving ability as a crucial advantage on Melbourne's fast hard courts, where he can generate cheap points that Cerundolo's weaker serve cannot match[3].
• Baseline aggression expected to trouble Cerundolo: Experts predict Rublev's powerful baseline game will rush the Argentine into errors and defensive lapses, particularly in these quicker conditions[3].
• First set lean toward Rublev: Prediction models give Rublev a 55% chance of winning the opening set, with the match expected to stay under 40.5 games[1].
## Head-to-Head Context
• Cerundolo holds career edge but on unfamiliar terrain: The Argentine leads their overall series 3-1 with recent victories, yet they've faced each other only once on hard courts—Cerundolo won that Paris indoor clash in 2024[4].
• Grand Slam experience favors Rublev: The Russian has reached 10 major quarterfinals including three Australian Open appearances, while Cerundolo has never advanced past the fourth round of a Grand Slam outside Roland Garros[4].
## Recent Form
• Cerundolo struggles early in 2026: The 21st-ranked Argentine opened the season with a 0-1 match record and 1-2 set record[2].
• Rublev shows renewed confidence: The Russian has posted a 2-1 match record to start 2026 with a 5-3 set advantage, suggesting improved form compared to his difficult 2025[2][3].
See how multiple AI models rate Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublev. We aggregate today's
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