Betting tips from AI for Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears, 07 December 2025.

The market has Green Bay installed as a heavy favorite at 1.31 while Chicago pays out 3.61. With $1 moneyline sizing, I'm chasing value — not the chalk.

Packers injuries (T Tucker Kraft and DT Devonte Wyatt out, Javon Bullard questionable) sap Green Bay’s blocking and pass-rush depth, and missing key pass catchers on both sides points to a grind-it-out affair. The Bears boast a 146-yard rushing attack and a defense surrendering just 16.8 PPG over the last five games, plus betting trends favor Chicago to cover the +6.5 spread.

Green Bay is 1-6 ATS as favorites by more than a field goal this year; that inconsistency plus Lambeau’s cold, physical environment gives Chicago an edge to control the clock and spring an upset. I expect the Bears to cash at value and recommend backing Chicago Bears.

This NFC North clash at Lambeau promises to be a grind. Despite Green Bay's 1.31 odds, the Bears present a compelling upset case, a sentiment echoed by former Packers QB Brett Favre. Chicago's rushing attack, averaging 146 yards per game, coupled with a defense allowing just 16.8 points over their last five, makes them a tough out. Green Bay’s key absences, including tight end Tucker Kraft and defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt, are significant. The Packers' struggle against the spread as favorites (1-6 ATS when favored by more than a field goal) further reinforces concerns. Vince Vaughn's "paper thin" defensive line comment might sting, but it highlights a potential vulnerability. With both teams missing key pass catchers, expect a low-scoring, defense-driven affair, likely favoring the Bears to cover the spread and potentially snatch a win at 3.61.

While the Packers enter as heavy 1.31 favorites, several factors point toward a potential Bears upset. Chicago's ground game has been exceptional, averaging 146 yards recently, which directly attacks Green Bay's weakness. The Packers' defensive line, already criticized as "paper thin" by Vince Vaughn, is further compromised by Devonte Wyatt's absence.

Green Bay's troubling 1-6 ATS record when favored by more than a field goal cannot be ignored, especially against a Bears defense allowing just 16.8 points over their last five contests. The loss of Tucker Kraft removes a key offensive weapon for the Packers.

Brett Favre's prediction of a Bears upset adds credibility to the underdog narrative. With Lambeau not providing its usual weather advantage and Chicago's improved discipline under Coach Williams, the 3.61 Bears offer tremendous value. Their defensive improvements and rushing attack should control the clock and secure a narrow victory in this classic NFC North battle.

In this classic NFC North rivalry at Lambeau Field, the Green Bay Packers enter as heavy favorites at 1.31, but the Chicago Bears at 3.61 present a compelling underdog story. Brett Favre, the Packers legend, sees a tight, physical battle and leans toward Chicago's upset potential, citing their revamped rushing attack averaging 146 yards per game and defensive discipline that's limited opponents to just 16.8 points over the last five outings.

Green Bay's three-game win streak is impressive, yet their 1-6 ATS record when favored by more than a field goal screams caution. Key injuries to tight end Tucker Kraft and defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt hobble their offense and pass rush, while safety Javon Bullard is questionable, exposing the secondary. Vince Vaughn's jab at Green Bay's 'paper thin' defensive line adds fuel, but it's the Bears' momentum under coach Williams that's turning heads.

With both teams missing pass catchers, expect a gritty, low-scoring affair under the 44.5 total. The Bears' strong ATS trends and ability to grind on the ground could keep it close, but Green Bay's home edge and overall talent should prevail in a narrow victory. For bettors eyeing value, the moneyline on Chicago tempts, but Packers hold the edge.

The chill at Lambeau can't hide the Packers' vulnerabilities, with key absences like Tucker Kraft and Devonte Wyatt weakening both sides of the ball. Chicago’s surging ground game—averaging 146 yards—targets a defensive line critics call 'paper thin,' while their stifling defense allows just 16.8 points recently.

Brett Favre’s upset lean and Green Bay’s 1-6 ATS record as big favorites underscore the value in the Bears at 3.61. Expect a physical, low-scoring grind where Chicago’s discipline trumps Green Bay’s inconsistency.

This NFC North showdown between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears shapes up as a fascinating clash of styles, with both teams bringing strengths that could tilt the outcome. The Packers enter as favorites with odds of 1.31, reflecting their three-game winning streak and home-field advantage at Lambeau Field. However, recent trends suggest they may struggle to cover against a resurgent Bears squad. Green Bay’s inconsistency as favorites is glaring—they’re just 1-6 ATS when favored by more than a field goal this season. With key absences like tight end Tucker Kraft and defensive tackle Devonte Wyatt, their offensive rhythm and defensive depth are in question.

Chicago, on the other hand, presents a formidable challenge. Their rushing attack has been dominant, averaging 146 yards per game, while their defense allows only 16.8 points over the last five contests. Brett Favre’s prediction of a Bears upset feels plausible given these dynamics, especially if Green Bay’s secondary falters without safety Javon Bullard. Moreover, betting trends favor the Bears to cover the +6.5 spread, underscoring their strong ATS record and adaptability under coach Williams.

The odds for a Chicago win sit at 3.61, offering significant value for bettors willing to back the underdog. While Lambeau’s atmosphere can be daunting, the Packers’ struggles to cover spreads combined with the Bears’ disciplined play make Chicago an enticing pick. This matchup could hinge on Green Bay’s ability to exploit mismatches through Aaron Rodgers or whether Chicago’s ground game controls tempo. Given the circumstances, the Bears have a real shot to pull off the upset.