Betting tips from AI for Houston Rockets vs Chicago Bulls, 14 January 2026.

I back the Houston Rockets 1.16 to beat the Chicago Bulls 5.40 in this January tilt.
DRatings' 122.9–114.7 projection and 76.5% simulation edge lines up with Wincomparator's ~70% view and a 4–1 recent H2H advantage — Houston's defense (just 110.7 allowed in that model) and size have repeatedly overwhelmed Chicago, including a 143–107 blowout last November.
Chicago is patchy at 18–20 and relying on Coby White and the possible return of Josh Giddey; that helps but doesn't erase Houston's home six-game form and defensive identity. On a $1 bet, the models and matchup favor the Rockets as the profitable, smarter play.

Despite a frustrating three-game skid, the Houston Rockets are heavily favored to snap their slump and extend their home winning streak against the Chicago Bulls. Analysts at DRatings project a dominant victory, giving Houston a 76.5% chance of winning, while Wincomparator agrees with 70% odds, citing the Rockets' formidable 4-1 head-to-head advantage, including a 143-107 blowout last November. The bookmakers reflect this confidence, listing the Rockets at 1.16 to win outright.

While Houston is without Fred VanVleet, their stingy defense, allowing just 110.7 points per game, and "jumbo-sized squad" should overwhelm a Bulls team limping in at 18-20. Chicago's recent form is mixed, and even a potential Josh Giddey return isn't likely to turn the tide against a motivated Rockets side. The Rockets' desperation to salvage their six-game home winning streak at Toyota Center will be a powerful motivator against an inconsistent Bulls squad, making them the clear pick here.

Despite the Rockets' current three-game losing streak, their home court advantage at Toyota Center remains formidable with a six-game winning streak they'll be desperate to maintain. Houston's defensive prowess (allowing just 110.7 points per game) gives them a significant edge against a Bulls team that's been inconsistent at best.

The head-to-head history heavily favors Houston with a 4-1 record in recent matchups, including that eye-popping 143-107 blowout last November. DRatings' simulation giving the Rockets a 76.5% win probability aligns with the hefty 1.16 odds.

Chicago at 5.40 might tempt value hunters, especially with Josh Giddey potentially returning, but the Rockets' size advantage and home court edge should prove too much. The absence of VanVleet hurts Houston, but not enough to overcome the talent gap against a Bulls squad that recently got crushed by Detroit and Charlotte.

The Houston Rockets are primed to snap their three-game skid and reclaim dominance at home against a struggling Chicago Bulls squad. With odds heavily favoring Houston at 1.16, the value is clear for bettors eyeing a profitable play on the home team. Analysts project a 122.9-114.7 win for the Rockets, backed by their elite defense that caps opponents at just 110.7 points per game on average. Houston's 4-1 edge in recent head-to-heads, including that 143-107 demolition last November, underscores their superiority over this Bulls team.

Chicago enters at 18-20, battered by losses to Detroit, Boston, and even Charlotte, though Coby White's 3.5 fast-break assists provide a spark. Josh Giddey's potential return could help, but facing Houston's jumbo frontcourt without Fred VanVleet—who's sidelined by a preseason ACL tear—feels like an uphill battle. The Rockets' desperation to revive their six-game home streak at Toyota Center tips the scales.

Betting $1 on Houston to win offers a safe, calculated edge in this mismatch, capitalizing on their 76.5% simulation win probability. For sharp bettors, this is the play to build the bankroll steadily.

The Houston Rockets are desperate to snap a frustrating three-game skid, and a return to the Toyota Center—where they've won six straight—provides the perfect stage. Analysts at DRatings heavily favor them, projecting a 122.9-114.7 victory with a 76.5% win probability, thanks to a stingy defense allowing just 110.7 points per game. Wincomparator predicts a rout, citing a 4-1 head-to-head edge and a 143-107 blowout last November.

The Chicago Bulls limp in at 18-20, leaning on Coby White's hot hand but plagued by inconsistency. While Josh Giddey's potential return offers hope, the Rockets' jumbo-sized squad, even without Fred VanVleet, should control the game. With odds at 1.16 for Houston and 5.40 for Chicago, the home favorite is poised to capitalize on their defensive prowess and historical dominance.

The Houston Rockets enter this matchup as heavy favorites with odds of 1.16, and for good reason. Despite their recent three-game skid, the Rockets have been nearly unbeatable at home, boasting a six-game winning streak at Toyota Center. Their defense has been a fortress, allowing just 110.7 points per game, and DRatings' projection of a 122.9-114.7 victory underscores their dominance. The absence of Fred VanVleet is a blow, but the Rockets' depth and size should overwhelm a Bulls team that's struggled to find consistency.

Chicago, on the other hand, sits at 18-20 and has shown flashes of brilliance but also glaring vulnerabilities. While Coby White’s fast-break playmaking has been a bright spot, averaging 3.5 assists in transition, the Bulls lack the defensive tools to contain Houston’s juggernaut offense. Josh Giddey’s potential return adds intrigue, but it’s unlikely he’ll be at full strength coming off injury. The Rockets’ 70% win probability from Wincomparator feels accurate given their head-to-head dominance, including a 143-107 demolition last November.

At odds of 5.40, the Bulls are tempting for bettors seeking long shots, but the analytics and trends overwhelmingly favor Houston. This game shapes up as a chance for the Rockets to exorcise their recent frustrations and reassert their authority.