Betting tips from AI for Learner Tien vs Nuno Borges, 23 January 2026.

This Round of 32 pits the in-form momentum of Nuno Borges against the higher-seeded consistency of Learner Tien.
Tien scraped through a gruelling five-set with Marcos Giron and is defending a big points haul from last year, which leaves questions about recent peak form. Borges has real rhythm — a confident win over Jordan Thompson and the Auger-Aliassime retirement have him moving freely on court.
The market prices Tien at 1.53 while Borges is shown at 2.68. Betting models put Tien around 61–69% and the book’s line implies a break-even near the middle of that band; given Tien’s seed, baseline consistency and the narrow model spread I read him slightly above the market. That marginal edge makes a $1 bet on Learner Tien the preferred, value-driven play.

Learner Tien enters this Round of 32 clash as the bookmakers' favorite at 1.53, with betting models giving him a significant edge. However, his opening round was a grueling five-setter against Marcos Giron, and sources suggest he hasn't quite hit his peak form since his Next Gen Finals triumph. This contrasts sharply with Nuno Borges, who is riding a wave of momentum.

Borges powerfully dispatched local favorite Jordan Thompson in four sets and benefited from Felix Auger-Aliassime's earlier retirement, building confidence. Experts like Zain Mustafa and Andreas are backing Borges, praising his aggressive baseline play and strong show-court experience. Steen Kirby also notes Borges's superior recent tour form. At 2.68, Borges presents compelling value. His aggressive style and current form could exploit Tien's potential fatigue and less-than-peak performance, making him a strong upset pick.

Despite the bookmakers favoring Learner Tien at 1.53, Nuno Borges presents compelling value at 2.68. Borges has shown impressive form, dispatching local hope Jordan Thompson in four sets (6-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-4) after benefiting from Auger-Aliassime's retirement in the first round.

Tien's five-set struggle against Marcos Giron raises concerns about his stamina and current form. While he's defending significant points from last year's breakthrough and comes in with Next Gen Finals credentials, he hasn't recaptured that peak performance level.

Borges' aggressive baseline play and growing comfort on show courts give him an edge that the betting models may be undervaluing. The Portuguese veteran's recent tour form has been more consistent than the odds suggest.

While Tien carries the higher seed (No. 29 vs. Borges' No. 46), this third-round clash appears primed for an upset. Borges' momentum and match-tested confidence make him the value play in this Australian Open Round of 32 matchup.

In this Australian Open Round of 32 showdown, Learner Tien enters as the clear favorite at 1.53, backed by betting models giving him 61-69% win probability. The 19-year-old American sensation grinded out a grueling five-set victory over Marcos Giron in the first round, showcasing his resilience despite not yet peaking since his Next Gen Finals glory. Defending big points from last year's breakthrough here adds pressure, but Tien's upside is immense.

Nuno Borges, at 2.68, rides momentum from powering past local hope Jordan Thompson 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 in the second round, plus an earlier walkover win over Felix Auger-Aliassime. Experts like Zain Mustafa and Andreas praise his aggressive baseline play and show-court savvy, predicting he could edge tight battles. Steen Kirby highlights Borges' veteran form over shaky Aussie opponents.

Yet, Tien's seeding and models tilt the scales. Borges has heart, but Tien's talent should prevail in a competitive three- or four-setter, making the juice bet on the favorite a smart play for steady profit.

Learner Tien enters this Round of 32 clash as the No. 29 seed, but his form is questionable after a grueling five-set win over Marcos Giron. He's defending big points from last year's breakthrough and hasn't recaptured his Next Gen Finals magic.

Nuno Borges, however, is riding high after powering past Jordan Thompson in four sets, showcasing aggressive baseline play and building momentum from earlier rounds. Betting models favor Tien at 1.53, yet Borges at 2.68 presents compelling value given his on-court confidence and Tien's vulnerabilities.

With Tien not at peak form, Borges' relentless pressure and recent show-court experience position him for an upset victory.

In this Round of 32 clash at the Australian Open, Learner Tien faces Nuno Borges in what promises to be an intriguing match. Tien, the No. 29 seed, is coming off a grueling five-set victory over Marcos Giron, which may have taken a toll on his energy. However, he's known for his resilience and has been a strong performer in Grand Slams, especially after his impressive run at the Next Gen Finals. On the other hand, Nuno Borges, the No. 46 seed, has shown remarkable form, defeating Jordan Thompson in four sets and benefiting from Felix Auger-Aliassime's retirement in the first round. Borges' aggressive baseline play and recent momentum make him a formidable opponent. Despite the betting models favoring Tien with odds of 1.53, the Portuguese player's experience and current form suggest that he could pull off an upset. The match is likely to be a close one, but Borges' aggressive style and recent performances give him a slight edge.