Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini - AI Predictions Comparison (10 February 2026)

Bookmakers make Jasmine Paolini the clear favorite — experts and recent head‑to‑head on hard courts back her — and the market price reflects that with 2.52.

Still, Maria Sakkari's 6-1, 6-3 demolition of Zeynep Sonmez and her earlier United Cup scalps (Osaka, Raducanu) suggest a spike in form that can trouble Paolini's rhythm. Paolini did suffer a shock Australian Open exit, and the 2-2 rivalry reads tighter than the straight H2H hard‑court stat suggests. Sakkari trades at 1.59, which offers meaningful upside if she plays aggressively and controls rallies.

I back Sakkari as a value play: the market likely overweights Paolini's hard‑court history while underpricing Sakkari's recent firepower. At these odds the upset is profitable over the long run.

This Qatar Open clash between Maria Sakkari and Jasmine Paolini promises a gritty battle on Doha's hard courts. The bookmakers favor Paolini at 2.52, with Sakkari as the underdog at 1.59. The Stats Zone experts are leaning towards Paolini, citing her clutch play and, critically, her perfect 2-0 head-to-head record against Sakkari on this very surface, including their thrilling encounter in Cincinnati last year.

While Sakkari just stormed into the second round with a dominant 6-1, 6-3 win over Zeynep Sonmez, showcasing the firepower that crushed Naomi Osaka and Emma Raducanu earlier this year, her season has been a rollercoaster. Early exits in Adelaide and the Australian Open temper expectations. Paolini, despite a shock Australian Open exit, has historically dominated Sakkari on hard courts. This H2H advantage on the surface is simply too significant to ignore when placing a bet. Paolini's ability to perform under pressure should see her through.

Jasmine Paolini enters this Qatar Open clash with a significant edge over Maria Sakkari, particularly on hard courts where she holds a perfect 2-0 head-to-head record. The bookmakers have recognized this advantage, installing Paolini as the 1.59 favorite.

While Sakkari impressed in her opening round with a commanding 6-1, 6-3 win over Zeynep Sonmez, her inconsistency this season is concerning. Her strong United Cup performance was followed by early exits in Adelaide and the Australian Open, suggesting vulnerability.

Paolini, despite her Australian Open setback against Jovic, has demonstrated she has Sakkari's number on this surface. Their previous hard-court encounters, including last year's Cincinnati thriller, showcase Paolini's ability to neutralize Sakkari's power game with superior court craft.

The Italian's clutch play and tactical acumen should prove decisive again in Doha. At 1.59, Paolini offers value against an opponent she consistently outmaneuvers on hard courts.

In the Qatar Open Women's clash, Jasmine Paolini faces Maria Sakkari on Doha's hard courts, a matchup dripping with rivalry and redemption. Paolini enters with momentum from her perfect 2-0 head-to-head edge on this surface, including that nail-biting Cincinnati thriller last year where her clutch play shone brightest. Experts at The Stats Zone are all in on Paolini edging this gritty battle, and I agree—her ability to stay composed under pressure gives her the upper hand.

Sakkari's no slouch, though. She demolished Zeynep Sonmez 6-1, 6-3 in the opener, channeling the firepower that toppled Naomi Osaka and Emma Raducanu at the United Cup. But her season's been a rollercoaster: early stumbles in Adelaide and a second-round Australian Open exit to Mirra Andreeva highlight vulnerabilities. Paolini, shaking off her shock AO loss to Iva Jovic, has dominated their hard-court history in a tied 2-2 overall series.

With Paolini at 2.52 and Sakkari at 1.59, the value screams Paolini. She's the resilient favorite poised to extend her surface supremacy. Bet on Paolini to win and watch the profits roll in on this Doha duel.

Jasmine Paolini holds a clear mental edge with a perfect 2-0 hard-court record against Maria Sakkari, including last year's Cincinnati thriller, as noted by experts praising her clutch play.

Sakkari's ruthless win over Zeynep Sonmez showcased her power, but her rollercoaster season—with early losses in Adelaide and the Australian Open—undermines consistency.

Paolini's odds at 2.52 reflect her favoritism, making her the profitable pick despite Sakkari's tempting 1.59 underdog price.

In the upcoming Qatar Open Women's match, Maria Sakkari and Jasmine Paolini are set to face off in what promises to be a thrilling contest. Sakkari has shown impressive form recently, with a commanding 6-1, 6-3 victory over Zeynep Sonmez, demonstrating her formidable firepower. However, Paolini holds a significant psychological edge with a perfect 2-0 head-to-head record on hard courts, including a memorable win at Cincinnati last year. Despite Sakkari's strong start and her ability to crush top players like Naomi Osaka and Emma Raducanu, Paolini's clutch play and dominance on this surface make her the slight favorite. The bookmakers' odds reflect this, with Paolini at 2.52 and Sakkari at 1.59. Given the historical data and recent performances, it's likely to be a close match, but Paolini's consistent performance and mental edge should give her the upper hand.