Betting tips from AI for Olympiacos vs Valencia Basket, 16 December 2025.

Peace and Friendship will be rocking — Olympiacos are heavy favorites 1.34, and for good reason: Sasha Vezenkov is scorching with a 20.8 efficiency rating and the Reds own a 12–4 edge over Valencia since 2000.

Valencia arrive 10–5 and dangerous, led by Omari Moore (13.5 PIR) and coming off a recent 78–65 win in Piraeus, but they’ll be missing Xabi López-Arostegui and are priced as underdogs at 3.41.

Balancing the home-court fortress, Vezenkov’s impact and Valencia’s injury, Olympiacos look likeliest to control the game — lean with the home side for the $1 play.

This Euroleague clash pits a struggling Olympiacos (10th) against a red-hot Valencia Basket (2nd). While Olympiacos enjoys their "fortress-like" home court and seeks revenge for a recent 65-78 road loss to Valencia, the visitors have proven they can snatch wins in Piraeus. Valencia arrives on a strong streak, sitting comfortably in second place despite missing Xabi López-Arostegui, showcasing their squad depth. Olympiacos boasts Sasha Vezenkov's impressive 20.8 efficiency rating, but Valencia's collective form is superior this season. The odds of 1.34 for Olympiacos reflect their historical dominance and home advantage, but Valencia's current momentum and ability to defy the odds at this venue make them an attractive pick. At 3.41, Valencia offers significant value given their strong road form and high standing in the league. This won't be an easy road trip, but Valencia has the tools to extend their hot streak.

Olympiacos holds a significant home-court advantage at the Peace and Friendship Stadium, where they've historically dominated Valencia Basket. While Valencia sits impressively in second place with a 10-5 record, they'll be missing key forward Xabi López-Arostegui due to injury, which weakens their rotation for this challenging road fixture.

The bookmaker odds heavily favor Olympiacos at 1.34 versus Valencia's 3.41, reflecting the Greeks' strength at home. Sasha Vezenkov's remarkable 20.8 efficiency rating gives Olympiacos a game-changing talent that Valencia will struggle to contain.

While Valencia has managed surprise wins in Piraeus previously, this matchup comes at the start of a grueling road tripleheader, potentially leaving them vulnerable to fatigue. Olympiacos, currently in 10th place, has more urgency to secure this win to improve their standing. Expect the Greeks to leverage their home advantage and Vezenkov's scoring prowess to avenge their previous 65-78 loss to Valencia.

Olympiacos welcomes Valencia Basket to the intimidating Peace and Friendship Stadium for this EuroLeague showdown, a venue where the Greeks have historically reigned supreme. With Olympiacos sitting at 10th but boasting a dominant 12-4 head-to-head record over Valencia since 2000, including that recent 65-78 loss on the road that still stings, expect a fierce revenge effort from the home side. Valencia, riding high in second place with a 10-5 mark, enters on a hot streak but faces a grueling road tripleheader, compounded by the absence of forward Xabi López-Arostegui due to a right leg muscle injury.

Sasha Vezenkov's blistering 20.8 efficiency rating could be the X-factor for Olympiacos, countering Valencia's Omari Moore, who's been solid at 13.5 PIR in their milestone 17th clash. The odds reflect Olympiacos as heavy favorites at 1.34, while Valencia lurks as live underdogs at 3.41—tempting value, but the home fortress and historical edge tilt the scales.

In this battle of contrasting forms, Olympiacos' depth and motivation should prevail, making them the smart play to cover and win convincingly.

Valencia Basket's recent road success at the Peace and Friendship Stadium, including a win earlier this season, cannot be ignored despite Olympiacos's historical dominance and home fortress reputation. While Olympiacos has the motivational edge and Sasha Vezenkov's high efficiency, Valencia's strong second-place form and proven ability to win in this specific arena make the 3.41 moneyline a valuable, high-upside play. The absence of Xabi López-Arostegui is a factor, but coach Martínez's deep rotation is prepared for this grueling trip.

The revenge narrative for Olympiacos is strong, but the odds at 1.34 offer minimal value against a confident, battle-tested Valencia squad. In a tight, physical EuroLeague clash, taking the underdog with the proven road pedigree is the sharper, more profitable betting angle.

Olympiacos enters this Euroleague showdown with revenge on their minds after Valencia Basket handed them a 65-78 defeat in their last meeting. The Peace and Friendship Stadium has historically been a fortress for the Greek side, but Valencia's recent success on these courts adds an intriguing subplot to this matchup. Despite Olympiacos' dominant 12-4 head-to-head record since 2000, Valencia’s current form is hard to ignore. Sitting second in the standings with a 10-5 record, they’ve shown resilience even without injured forward Xabi López-Arostegui.
Valencia’s Omari Moore has been pivotal, averaging a solid 13.5 PIR, while Olympiacos will rely heavily on Sasha Vezenkov’s stellar efficiency rating of 20.8. However, the odds tell a story of expectation—Olympiacos at 1.34 suggests bookmakers see them as clear favorites despite their mid-table position. Valencia, priced attractively at 3.41, could entice bettors given their recent road heroics, though such long odds reflect the difficulty of winning in Piraeus.
While Valencia’s confidence is high, the weight of history and home-court dominance tips the balance slightly toward Olympiacos. Their motivation for payback combined with Vezenkov’s leadership makes them a safer bet in what promises to be a tightly contested game.