Betting tips from AI for Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens, 05 January 2026.

Big stakes at Acrisure Stadium — winner takes the AFC North. StatSalt and SI project a physical, low-scoring tilt, 3rd & Long and other analysts back Baltimore’s balanced attack; Pittsburgh is hamstrung without DK Metcalf and TE Darnell Washington. Lamar Jackson is questionable, but Baltimore’s defense and run/pass mix should control tempo and force Rodgers to win on tight windows.
Bookmakers list the Ravens at 1.51 while the Steelers sit at 2.72. I favor Baltimore to grind out a 20-16 victory; backing the Ravens at these odds is the higher-probability $1 play.

This AFC North showdown is a classic, with the division crown and a playoff spot on the line. The Baltimore Ravens enter as favorites with odds of 1.51, backed by analysts like Will from 3rd & Long who favor their balanced attack. However, the looming question mark of Lamar Jackson's back injury, which has him listed as questionable, casts a significant shadow over their tempo control and offensive potency.

On the other side, the Pittsburgh Steelers are reeling from key injuries, with DK Metcalf and Darnell Washington sidelined, severely limiting their deep threat options. This aligns with StatSalt's prediction of a gritty, low-scoring defensive battle, potentially favoring the Ravens 20-16. While a computer model at 1390 The Gambler projects a razor-thin Steelers upset at home with odds of 2.72, the consensus from multiple experts, including SI, leans towards Baltimore. Despite Pittsburgh's improved passing game behind Aaron Rodgers, who has cleared 20.5 completions in his last four starts, the Ravens' overall defensive strength and depth should allow them to grind out a win in this physical contest, even if Jackson isn't 100%.

This AFC North title clash has massive playoff implications, with the winner claiming the No. 4 seed while the loser's season ends. The Ravens enter as 1.51 favorites despite Lamar Jackson's questionable status with a back injury, which could severely limit Baltimore's offensive ceiling. Pittsburgh faces its own challenges with DK Metcalf sidelined and Darnell Washington out with a broken arm, hampering Aaron Rodgers' passing options.

While most analysts favor Baltimore by a slim margin (20-16, 22-15), the computer model projecting a 24-23 Steelers win is intriguing. Pittsburgh at 2.72 offers significant value at home in a rivalry known for tight contests. However, the Ravens' balanced attack should prevail if Jackson is anywhere near full strength.

Rodgers' hot hand (over 20.5 completions in four straight) suggests Pittsburgh will keep it close, but Baltimore's defensive edge and superior offensive weapons should ultimately secure a narrow victory in what promises to be a classic, physical AFC North battle.

In this high-stakes AFC North showdown at Acrisure Stadium, the Pittsburgh Steelers host the Baltimore Ravens with the division crown and No. 4 playoff seed on the line. The Ravens enter as favorites at 1.51, while the Steelers sit at 2.72 as home underdogs, offering solid value for bettors eyeing an upset.

Baltimore's edge stems from their balanced attack, but Lamar Jackson's questionable back injury casts doubt on their tempo control in this do-or-die clash. Pittsburgh, reeling from DK Metcalf's absence and Darnell Washington's broken arm, leans on Aaron Rodgers' hot hand— he's cleared 20.5 completions in his last four starts, potentially ramping up the passing game in underdog mode.

Most analysts, including StatSalt and SI, predict a gritty, low-scoring Ravens win (20-16 or 22-15), but a computer model at 1390 The Gambler sees a razor-thin Steelers upset, 24-23, with the total over 41.5. Will from 3rd & Long gives Pittsburgh just 42% odds, yet the home-field fire in this rivalry could flip the script.

Betting $1 on the Steelers at 2.72 maximizes profit potential in a matchup primed for defensive chaos and opportunistic plays. The Ravens' injury concerns tip the scales toward a Pittsburgh victory.

The stakes couldn't be higher as the winner claims the AFC North crown and No. 4 seed in this classic rivalry. Lamar Jackson's questionable back injury looms large for Baltimore's offense, while Pittsburgh battles without DK Metcalf and TE Darnell Washington.

Despite the absences, a computer model forecasts a Steelers upset, and with Aaron Rodgers clearing over 20.5 completions in four straight starts, the passing game has rhythm. The odds at 2.72 for Pittsburgh offer compelling value against Baltimore's 1.51 favorite status.

In a predicted low-scoring, physical duel, home advantage and Jackson's potential limitations tilt the scales toward the underdog Steelers in a nail-biter.

This AFC North grudge match carries monumental stakes, with the winner securing the division crown and a playoff berth while the loser heads home. Baltimore enters as the favorite at 1.51, reflecting their balanced attack and recent dominance in this rivalry. However, Lamar Jackson's questionable status due to a back injury introduces uncertainty. If Jackson is less than 100%, Baltimore's tempo-heavy offense could falter against Pittsburgh's opportunistic defense.

Pittsburgh, listed at 2.72, has thrived in underdog roles this season. Aaron Rodgers has been efficient, surpassing 20.5 completions in his last four games despite missing DK Metcalf. The Steelers' lack of deep threats might not matter much here—StatSalt predicts a low-scoring affair, suggesting Rodgers can methodically move the ball against a Ravens secondary that's shown occasional lapses.

While Baltimore holds the edge on paper, the intangibles lean toward Pittsburgh. Acrisure Stadium will be rocking for this do-or-die clash, and history shows the Steelers often rise in high-pressure spots. The absence of key players like Metcalf and Darnell Washington hurts, but the Ravens’ injuries and potential overconfidence tip the scales slightly in Pittsburgh’s favor. Betting on the Steelers offers value at +172 odds given these dynamics.