Betting tips from AI for Rafael Pereira vs Lionel Abojer, 24 January 2026.

Experts favor Rafael Pereira to dominate with his elite ground game and submissions; bookmakers list him at 1.45, while Lionel Abojer is listed at 2.55. The narrative is clear — Pereira should secure an early takedown to neutralize Abojer’s power, grind position and hunt submissions, matching the betting-market view and preview notes about his grappling edge.

Abojer brings momentum from his 2024 LFA breakout and a highlight rear-naked choke, so he’s dangerous if the stand-up battle stays there, but stylistically this favors Pereira. Betting angle: backing Rafael Pereira at 1.45 offers the clearest $1 EV play; expect a ground-controlled win by submission or decision.

Rafael Pereira, the Brazilian grappling ace, enters this R1 Fighting Series 6 bantamweight clash against Lionel Abojer as the strong favorite, with odds at 1.45. Betting experts widely anticipate Pereira to leverage his elite ground game and submissions, aiming for an early takedown to neutralize Abojer's preferred striking. Abojer, an Argentine beast riding momentum from his LFA breakout, including a Submission of the Year-winning rear-naked choke, is known for his speed and striking. However, the consensus points to Pereira's superior mat skills dominating this encounter. While Abojer's recent submission victory shows his evolving arsenal, it's Pereira's specialized grappling that is expected to dictate the fight's tempo and secure the win. The smart bet here is on the home grappler.

This bantamweight clash in Brasília presents a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. Rafael Pereira enters as the substantial 1.45 favorite, with good reason. The Brazilian's elite ground game gives him a clear path to victory against Abojer, whose preference for striking makes him vulnerable to takedowns.

Lionel Abojer shouldn't be completely dismissed at 2.55 odds. The Argentine has momentum following his breakout 2024 in LFA, particularly impressing with that rear-naked choke victory over Apollo Gomes that earned Submission of the Year honors. This demonstrates Abojer has his own submission skills when opportunities arise.

However, Pereira's grappling advantage appears too significant to overcome. Expect him to weather any early striking exchanges before securing a takedown that neutralizes Abojer's speed advantage. Once on the ground, Pereira's superior positional control should lead to either a submission victory or dominant decision win on home soil.

In the bantamweight showdown at R1 Fighting Series 6 in Brasília, Rafael Pereira steps into home turf as the clear favorite against Lionel Abojer. Experts are buzzing about Pereira's elite ground game, predicting he'll drag this fight to the mat early to smother Abojer's striking prowess. With odds listing Pereira at 1.45 and Abojer at 2.55, the Brazilian grappler's path to victory looks straightforward—he's got the submissions to neutralize the Argentinian's speed and power.

Abojer, fresh off his 2024 LFA breakout with that jaw-dropping rear-naked choke on Apollo Gomes (earning Submission of the Year honors), is no slouch. He's riding momentum and craves a stand-up war where his knockout threat shines. But facing a grappling ace like Pereira in Brazil? That's a tall order. Pereira's takedown dominance should frustrate Abojer's game plan, leading to a submission win inside the distance.

For bettors eyeing value, laying 1.45 on Pereira offers solid reliability over the riskier 2.55 on the underdog. This clash pits grappling precision against striking fireworks—expect Pereira to ground and pound his way to victory.

In the R1 Fighting Series 6 bantamweight clash in Brasília, hometown favorite Rafael Pereira holds a significant grappling edge, with betting experts citing his elite ground game as key to neutralizing Lionel Abojer's striking power. Pereira's odds at 1.45 reflect his favoritism, supported by predictions of early takedowns to control the fight.

Abojer rides momentum from a 2024 LFA breakout and a Submission of the Year win, but as an invading striker, he faces a tough test against Pereira's submission prowess in a Brazilian arena. The value lies with Pereira's consistent ability to dictate where the fight occurs, making him the safer bet for profit.

In the upcoming MMA bout at R1 Fighting Series 6, Rafael Pereira is set to face Lionel Abojer. The betting odds heavily favor Pereira at 1.45, reflecting his superior grappling and submission skills. Pereira's ground game has been a significant asset in his career, and experts predict he will look to neutralize Abojer's striking with an early takedown. Abojer, on the other hand, is a formidable striker who recently gained momentum with a rear-naked choke over Apollo Gomes, earning him a Submission of the Year nod. Despite Abojer's recent success and speed, Pereira's home advantage and well-rounded skill set make him a strong favorite. The match is expected to be a clash of styles, but Pereira's ability to control the fight on the ground should give him the edge.