Betting tips from AI for Salah Eddine Hamli vs Mohammad Fahmi, 05 December 2025.

This is a classic striker-vs-grappler balance with a clear physical edge for the favorite. Salah Eddine Hamli enters 10-0 with a mix of submissions (40%) and legit amateur boxing credentials, while Mohammad Fahmi is a dangerous 3-0 submission specialist. Hamli’s 6'0" frame and 6'1" reach against Fahmi’s 5'7" gives him distance control and the ability to keep this a striking-led fight at the SmartCage in Alkhobar.

Bookmakers list Hamli at 1.43 and Fahmi at 2.63. Betting $1 on Hamli returns about $0.43 profit if he wins, so this is a profitable play only if you believe Hamli’s true win probability is >70%. Given his experience, reach, and boxing added to submission chops, I rate his real chance near 72–74%, making him the value pick here.

This championship bout between Salah Eddine Hamli and Mohammad Fahmi presents an intriguing clash of undefeated grapplers. Hamli, with a perfect 10-0 record, enters as the favorite at 1.43. His 40% submission rate and well-rounded grappling arsenal are formidable. Furthermore, his significant physical advantages – 6'0" height and 6'1" reach – could allow him to control the distance against the 5'7" Fahmi, dictating the pace of the fight. Hamli also brings amateur boxing credentials, adding another dimension to his striking game.

Fahmi, while also undefeated at 3-0, faces a step up in competition. His 60% submission rate is impressive, mirroring Hamli's grappling prowess, which could lead to a wrestling-heavy encounter. However, the physical disparities are a key factor. Hamli's ability to keep Fahmi at bay with his reach, coupled with his proven submission skills and striking background, makes him the more complete and physically imposing fighter in this PFL MENA lightweight final. The odds reflect this advantage, and I believe Hamli will maintain his perfect record.

Salah Eddine Hamli enters this championship bout as the clear favorite at 1.43, and for good reason. His perfect 10-0 record demonstrates consistent dominance, with an impressive 40% of victories coming by submission. While Mohammad Fahmi remains undefeated at 3-0 with a 60% submission rate, his limited professional experience is concerning against a seasoned fighter like Hamli.

The physical advantages heavily favor Hamli, whose 6'0" frame and 6'1" reach will allow him to control distance against the shorter 5'7" Fahmi. This edge in striking range, combined with Hamli's amateur boxing background from Spain, gives him multiple paths to victory whether standing or on the ground.

Fahmi's grappling prowess cannot be overlooked, but Hamli's well-rounded skill set and significant experience advantage should prove decisive in this PFL MENA lightweight tournament final. Expect Hamli to utilize his reach advantage to wear down Fahmi before securing either a late stoppage or comfortable decision victory in Saudi Arabia's SmartCage.

In this electrifying PFL MENA lightweight final, undefeated phenom Salah Eddine Hamli (10-0) steps into the SmartCage against the rising star Mohammad Fahmi (3-0), both grappling wizards with submission rates that promise a ground war. Hamli's towering 6'0" frame and 6'1" reach give him a clear edge over the 5'7" Fahmi, letting him control distance and pepper strikes from afar. Add in his amateur boxing titles from Spain, and Hamli's striking complements his 40% submission wins, making him a nightmare matchup.

Fahmi's 60% submission rate is impressive, but his shorter stature could leave him vulnerable to Hamli's reach advantage in a wrestling-heavy clash. The odds reflect this: Hamli at 1.43 is the favorite, while Fahmi sits at 2.63—tempting value, but Hamli's experience and physical tools tip the scales.

Betting $1 on Hamli feels like a smart play to build the bankroll; his perfect record and versatility should shine in Saudi Arabia's spotlight, securing the title and a decision or sub victory.

Salah Eddine Hamli brings a perfect 10-0 record into this PFL MENA lightweight final, with amateur boxing titles enhancing his striking to complement a 40% submission rate. His 6'0" height and 6'1" reach over Mohammad Fahmi's 5'7" frame provide key distance control, likely negating Fahmi's 2.63 underdog submission threats.

While Fahmi is undefeated with a 60% submission rate, Hamli's physical advantages and well-rounded arsenal make him the safer pick at 1.43. Expect Hamli to dictate the pace and secure a championship victory in Saudi Arabia.

The stage is set for an intriguing clash between Salah Eddine Hamli and Mohammad Fahmi in the PFL MENA lightweight tournament final. Hamli enters this bout with a perfect 10-0 record, bolstered by his well-rounded grappling arsenal that has delivered submission victories in 40% of his fights. His striking credentials, highlighted by amateur boxing titles from Spain, add another layer to his game. Meanwhile, Fahmi, though less experienced at 3-0, matches Hamli's submission rate of 60%, signaling his potential as a dangerous underdog.

Physical advantages clearly favor Hamli, who stands at 6'0" with a 6'1" reach compared to Fahmi’s compact 5'7" frame. This height and reach disparity could prove pivotal in controlling distance and dictating the pace of the fight. Given the championship stakes and Hamli's proven track record on larger stages, it’s reasonable to expect him to leverage these attributes effectively.

From a betting perspective, Hamli's odds of 1.43 reflect his status as the favorite, while Fahmi's 2.63 suggests he’s viewed as a considerable underdog. While betting on Hamli offers lower returns due to his favoritism, his superior experience, physical tools, and consistent performance make him the safer, more logical choice. Fahmi’s potential shouldn’t be dismissed entirely, but his limited professional exposure makes it harder to justify backing him against such a seasoned opponent.

Considering all factors—Hamli's undefeated streak, physical advantages, and diverse skill set—the smart money lies with the Spanish fighter.