Betting tips from AI for Sean Sharaf vs Steven Asplund, 14 December 2025.

Steven Asplund is my pick. He arrives 6-1 with legitimate heavyweight power, he made weight flawlessly for his UFC debut and the market is clearly backing him at 1.44. Sean Sharaf (4-1) wants to bounce back from his lone UFC loss 14 months ago and is a real underdog threat at 2.95, but Asplund’s size, recent discipline making weight and sharper form give him the edge.

For a $1 bet the high-probability play is Asplund at 1.44. If you prefer bigger upside, the +195 Sharaf is a viable contrarian stab, but the smart, bankroll-preserving choice for this prelim heavyweight clash is Steven Asplund to win outright.

The betting markets have spoken, and they are overwhelmingly backing Steven Asplund in this intriguing heavyweight prelim. With odds of 1.44, Asplund enters his UFC debut as the clear favorite against Sean Sharaf, who sits at 2.95.

Asplund's story is already captivating, having made weight flawlessly after once tipping the scales at 520 pounds. This dedication speaks volumes about his commitment and professionalism. His sharp 6-1 record further solidifies confidence in his abilities, making him a formidable opponent.

While Sean Sharaf, with a 4-1 record, aims to bounce back from his lone UFC loss 14 months ago, the momentum and market sentiment are firmly with Asplund. The narrative, combined with his impressive record and the substantial betting odds, points to Asplund making a significant splash in his debut. For a profitable bet, siding with the heavily favored powerhouse is the astute move.

Steven Asplund enters the octagon as the clear favorite at 1.44, and for good reason. The former 520-pound heavyweight has transformed himself into a legitimate UFC contender, demonstrated by his flawless weight cut for this debut. With a superior 6-1 record compared to Sharaf's 4-1, Asplund brings momentum and power to this heavyweight clash.

Sharaf's 14-month layoff following his lone UFC defeat raises serious concerns about ring rust. While he's priced at 2.95 as the underdog, the odds actually seem generous given the circumstances. The betting markets have spoken loudly, with Asplund commanding nearly 70% of the action.

This prelim may be stealing the spotlight on UFC Vegas 112's undercard as ESPN's final UFC broadcast before the Paramount switch, but I expect Asplund to steal the show with his power and technique. His dramatic weight transformation suggests discipline and dedication that will translate to octagon success against a fighter coming off a loss and extended absence.

In the heavyweight prelims of UFC Vegas 112, Steven Asplund makes a jaw-dropping UFC debut against Sean Sharaf, and the betting markets are screaming value on the newcomer. At just 27, Asplund shed a staggering 520 pounds to hit the scales perfectly, showcasing discipline that belies his powerhouse build. His 6-1 record includes sharp finishes, positioning him as the -227 favorite—a nod to his explosive potential against Sharaf's 4-1 slate, marred by a loss 14 months back.

Sharaf enters at +195, hungry for redemption, but Asplund's momentum feels unstoppable. The odds reflect a 69% implied probability for the debuting beast, and I'm riding that wave. This clash caps ESPN's final UFC broadcast before the Paramount shift, but the real story is Asplund's transformation stealing the show. Expect a dominant display—lay the juice on Asplund for a profitable $1 bet.

Steven Asplund enters his UFC debut as the heavy betting favorite, with odds at 1.44, following a stunning weight cut from over 500 pounds that signals serious dedication. His 6-1 record and sharp form contrast with Sean Sharaf, who is coming off a loss 14 months ago and is listed at 2.95.

Asplund's flawless preparation and market confidence suggest he will overpower Sharaf, whose 4-1 slate lacks the same recent momentum. The odds reflect a clear expectation for the debuting heavyweight to dominate this prelim, making him the smart pick.

Steven Asplund enters this heavyweight bout as a significant favorite with odds of 1.44, and for good reason. The 27-year-old made waves by successfully making weight for his UFC debut, showcasing discipline and focus that could translate into dominance inside the octagon. His professional record of 6-1 reflects not just experience but also consistency, which is crucial in high-stakes MMA matchups.

Sean Sharaf, on the other hand, holds a respectable 4-1 record but faces an uphill battle against a powerhouse opponent who has generated considerable buzz ahead of this fight. Sharaf’s lone UFC loss came over a year ago, raising questions about how he’ll fare against someone like Asplund, whose physicality and skill set have betting markets leaning heavily in his favor at 69¢ to win compared to Sharaf's 33¢.

The odds disparity between the two fighters—Sharaf listed at 2.95 versus Asplund’s 1.44—underscores the perceived gap in their capabilities. While upsets are always possible in MMA, Asplund’s combination of recent momentum, superior record, and market confidence makes him the safer and more logical bet here. A wager on Asplund may not yield massive returns due to his steep odds, but it aligns with maximizing profitability through calculated risk.