Betting tips from AI for Shimizu S Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama, 06 December 2025.

Shimizu S‑Pulse get the nod. Despite two straight defeats they dominated their last match (56% possession, five shots on target) and historically hold the upper hand head‑to‑head, winning four of seven meetings. Fagiano Okayama arrive blunt up front — shut out with zero shots on goal and just 35% possession last time — which makes them unlikely to punish mistakes.
Bookmakers price the game with Shimizu at 2.31, Okayama 3.11 and the draw 3.40. At home in a relegation scrap, S‑Pulse’s ability to create chances and past dominance gives them the best value; +131 offers a tidy upside on a team that should force and finish chances against an impotent attack.

Shimizu S-Pulse, despite their recent dip, look poised to break their losing streak against a struggling Fagiano Okayama side. S-Pulse has lost their last two J1 League matches, including a 1.01-0 defeat where they dominated possession, suggesting an element of bad luck rather than complete capitulation. Conversely, Fagiano Okayama's attacking woes are significant; they were blanked 1.01-0 in their last outing without a single shot on goal. This lack of offensive firepower makes it difficult to see them troubling Shimizu's defense much.

Historically, Shimizu holds a clear advantage, winning four of seven meetings since 2016 and averaging 1.01 goals in those victories. Betting analysts also favor Shimizu with Full-Time Result odds of 2.18, reinforcing confidence in the home side. With both teams near the relegation zone, the urgency for Shimizu to secure points at home will be immense, providing extra motivation. Given Fagiano's offensive struggles and Shimizu's historical dominance, the home side is the clear favorite here.

Shimizu S-Pulse enters this crucial fixture with something to prove after consecutive defeats, yet their home advantage at IAI Stadium Nihondaira could be decisive against a struggling Fagiano Okayama side. Despite recent setbacks, S-Pulse's 56% possession and five shots on target in their last match indicate an attack that's creating opportunities, merely lacking finishing touch.

In stark contrast, Fagiano Okayama's offensive woes are alarming - failing to register a single shot on target against Urawa while maintaining just 35% possession highlights a team in serious scoring drought. This attacking impotence makes them vulnerable, especially away from home.

The historical head-to-head record strongly favors Shimizu, who have won four of seven meetings since 2016 with a healthy 1.4 goals per game average in those victories. With bookmakers offering 2.31 on a home win compared to 3.11 for the visitors, the market clearly sees S-Pulse as the stronger side despite their recent form dip.

With both teams fighting near the relegation zone, motivation won't be lacking, but Shimizu's superior attacking threat should ultimately prevail.

Shimizu S-Pulse are desperate to halt their slide after back-to-back defeats, including a frustrating 1-0 loss to Shonan Bellmare where they controlled 56% possession and peppered the goal with five shots on target. Hosting at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, they'll relish the chance to exploit Fagiano Okayama's glaring weaknesses up front—the visitors were shut out 1-0 by Urawa Reds last time, mustering zero shots on goal and just 35% possession in a dismal display.

History tilts firmly in Shimizu's favor, with four wins from seven head-to-heads since 2016, often grinding out low-scoring triumphs at an average of 1.4 goals. Both squads are scrapping near the relegation trapdoor—Okayama 16th with 32 points from 37 games, Shimizu teetering after their slump—but the home edge and attacking intent should see S-Pulse rebound.

At 2.31 for the win, this screams value in a high-stakes J1 clash. Expect Shimizu to edge it 1-0 or 2-1, breaking their streak and breathing life into their survival bid.

Shimizu S-Pulse are poised for a rebound at home after consecutive losses, but their recent 1-0 defeat to Shonan Bellmare masked positive signs: they controlled 56% possession and landed five shots on target.

Fagiano Okayama's offensive woes are stark, failing to record a shot on goal in a 1-0 loss to Urawa Red Diamonds, highlighting their struggles on the road.

With head-to-head dominance—four wins in seven meetings since 2016—and both teams fighting relegation, Shimizu's chance creation and home edge offer value at odds of 2.31.

Shimizu S-Pulse enter this match with a clear sense of urgency, sitting dangerously close to the relegation zone after consecutive defeats. Despite their recent struggles, they’ve historically dominated Fagiano Okayama in head-to-head encounters, winning four of seven meetings since 2016. This historical edge, combined with home advantage at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, makes them a compelling bet at odds of 2.31.

Fagiano Okayama’s attacking woes are well-documented, as evidenced by their last match where they failed to register a single shot on goal against Urawa Red Diamonds. With only 35% possession and minimal creativity in that game, it’s hard to envision them breaking down a Shimizu defense that has been more solid than their recent results suggest. While both teams are fighting relegation battles, Okayama’s lack of firepower makes them unlikely to secure all three points here.

The draw, priced at 3.40, might appeal to some given the stakes, but neither team has shown enough consistency to suggest a stalemate is probable. Betting analysts’ confidence in Shimizu, reflected in their odds of 2.31, aligns with the broader context: a motivated home side with a favorable historical record should edge out a struggling visitor.