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Betting tips from AI for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders, 07 December 2025.

AI Consensus

1.72
Home win
3 of 6 AI models pick Tampa Bay Lightning to win at 1.72

ChatGPT tip
New York Islanders win
2.25

ChatGPT prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders, 07 December 2025.

Tampa Bay arrive as clear favorites at 1.89, riding a 7-3 run and averaging 3.6 goals over their last 10 games, so the expectation is they control pace.

Still, New York stunned them 2-1 on Tuesday — Ilya Sorokin made 28 saves for his eighth win and Bo Horvat is carrying scoring form with 16 goals. That upset showed the Islanders can execute a defensive gameplan and steal one on the road.

Public money and a -1.5 line have Tampa backed hard, but a tighter, low-scoring rematch suits New York. At 3.45 the Islanders offer value given elite goaltending and motivation, so I lean with the upset here.
Gemini tip
New York Islanders win
2.25

Gemini prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders, 07 December 2025.

The Tampa Bay Lightning, despite their recent 1.89 odds favoring them heavily, are coming off a surprising 2-1 upset loss to the New York Islanders. While the Lightning have been prolific scorers, averaging 3.6 goals per game, the Islanders' goaltender Ilya Sorokin stood tall with 28 saves in their last encounter, proving he can be a difference-maker. The Islanders, led by Bo Horvat who is making a strong case for the Olympics, showed they can compete with the division's elite.

Betting markets still heavily favor Tampa Bay, but the Islanders' recent victory, coupled with the expectation of a more defensive battle, suggests a tighter game. The 3.45 odds for the Islanders offer significant value, especially with Sorokin's ability to shut down high-powered offenses. While Tampa Bay is a strong team, the Islanders have momentum and a clear path to victory if they maintain defensive discipline.
Claude tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.72

Claude prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders, 07 December 2025.

Tampa Bay's offensive firepower has been exceptional lately, averaging 3.6 goals per game over their last 10 outings with a 7-3 record. While the Islanders did snap the Lightning's seven-game winning streak with a 2-1 upset victory, this rematch favors Tampa Bay at home where they've been dominant.

Ilya Sorokin's 28-save performance in the Islanders' recent win was impressive, but Tampa Bay rarely gets shut down twice in a row by the same opponent. The betting markets reflect this with Tampa Bay at 1.89 compared to the Islanders at 3.45.

Bo Horvat's Olympic aspirations have fueled his 16-goal season, making him a threat, but Tampa's depth and home-ice advantage should prevail in what could be a tighter, defensive contest. The Lightning's third-place standing in the Eastern Conference isn't accidental – they consistently find ways to win important games like this one.
Grok tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.72

Grok prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders, 07 December 2025.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are gearing up for a revenge-fueled showdown against the New York Islanders in this NHL rematch, and the momentum swings firmly in Tampa's favor despite that gut-punch 2-1 upset on Tuesday. With a scorching 3.6 goals per game average over their last 10 outings and a 7-3 record that has them third in the East, the Lightning's offensive juggernaut—led by their dynamic top line—should overwhelm New York's road-weary defense. Sure, Ilya Sorokin stood tall with 28 saves in the win, and Bo Horvat's 16 goals add bite, but Tampa's home-ice edge and superior regular-season form make this a bounce-back spot.

Oddsmakers agree, listing the Bolts at 1.89 with a -1.5 spread reflecting 75% consensus backing, while the Isles sit at 3.45. Expect a tighter affair than Tampa's usual shootouts, with analysts eyeing the under 5.5, but the Lightning's firepower tips the scales. For bettors chasing value, Tampa's the profitable play—ride the favorites to reclaim their streak.

This isn't just payback; it's Tampa asserting dominance in a defensive battle where their attack breaks through.
DeepSeek tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.72

DeepSeek prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders, 07 December 2025.

The Tampa Bay Lightning aim to rebound after the Islanders snapped their seven-game win streak with a 2-1 upset. Tampa's offensive firepower, averaging 3.6 goals per game, gives them an edge at home, while Ilya Sorokin's goaltending for New York could spark a defensive battle.

Betting markets heavily favor the Lightning at 1.89, reflecting their superior form, but the Islanders' 3.45 odds offer high-reward potential. With Tampa motivated to avenge the loss and maintain Eastern Conference standing, their consistency should prevail in a tight contest.
Qwen tip
Draw
4.40

Qwen prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders, 07 December 2025.

The matchup between the Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders offers an intriguing betting opportunity, blending recent form with situational context. The Lightning enter as favorites with odds of 1.89, reflecting their dominant offensive output this season, averaging 3.6 goals per game over their last 10 contests. However, the Islanders demonstrated they can disrupt Tampa Bay's rhythm in their recent 2-1 upset victory, a game where Ilya Sorokin's goaltending was instrumental. Sorokin's 28-save performance could be pivotal again if the Islanders adopt a defensive posture, as analysts predict.

While the Lightning hold a superior overall record and home-ice advantage, the Islanders' ability to stifle high-powered offenses cannot be ignored. Bo Horvat's leadership and scoring touch add another layer of confidence for New York, even as underdogs at 3.45. The betting markets heavily lean toward Tampa Bay, with 75% consensus backing them, but value often lies in going against the grain when motivation and strategy align, as it does for the Islanders here.

Considering the defensive battle expected and the tight nature of their last meeting, the Draw at 4.30 presents appealing value. Both teams have shown they can grind out low-scoring affairs, and with playoff implications likely on the line, neither may take unnecessary risks late in the game.

Match News

• Tampa Bay's offensive firepower on display: The Lightning have been prolific scorers, averaging 3.6 goals per game over their last 10 outings with a 7-3 record, positioning them third in the Eastern Conference standings and demonstrating the kind of consistent attacking prowess that makes them favorites heading into Sunday's matchup.

• Islanders snap Lightning's winning streak: New York delivered a stunning 2-1 upset victory on Tuesday night, with Bo Horvat and Anthony Duclair finding the back of the net to halt Tampa Bay's seven-game winning run and prove they can compete with the division's elite teams.

• Sorokin stands tall in upset win: Islanders goaltender Ilya Sorokin made 28 saves in the recent victory over Tampa Bay, recording his eighth win of the season and showcasing the kind of elite goaltending that could be the difference-maker if New York can maintain defensive discipline in the rematch.

• Horvat making Olympic case: The Islanders' leading scorer with 16 goals this season, Horvat is building a compelling resume for Team Canada's 2026 Winter Olympics roster, adding extra motivation to his performances down the stretch.

• Betting markets heavily favor Lightning: Oddsmakers have installed Tampa Bay as significant favorites with 75% consensus backing a Lightning victory and a -1.5 point spread, reflecting confidence in their superior regular-season form despite the recent loss to New York.

• Defensive battle expected: Analysts predict a more defensive-minded contest with the Islanders likely to tighten their backline on the road, suggesting the under 5.5 total goals could be the play rather than a high-scoring affair.
See how multiple AI models rate Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders. We aggregate today's betting tips and highlight agreement between models when it occurs. Use this page to scan the overall picture quickly, then open any model's detailed tip to read short reasoning.