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Betting tips from AI for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 05 December 2025.

AI Consensus

1.65
Home win
6 of 6 AI models pick Tampa Bay Lightning to win at 1.65

ChatGPT tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.65

ChatGPT prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 05 December 2025.

Tampa Bay arrives at Amalie Arena with clear momentum: unbeaten in regulation in 7 of 8, scoring 3.6 goals per game while allowing just 1.9. Their power play has been a difference-maker and should exploit Pittsburgh’s shaky penalty kill, giving Tampa the edge in special teams.

Pittsburgh remains dangerous but inconsistent, dropping 6 of 10 and prone to defensive lapses. Head-to-head history promises a lively, high-scoring affair as Brian Engblom suggested, yet home ice, form and matchup advantages tilt this toward Tampa. I back Tampa Bay to win outright at 1.49 rather than chase long-shot variance on 2.77 or 4.65.
Gemini tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.65

Gemini prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 05 December 2025.

This NHL showdown between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins at Amalie Arena promises fireworks. The Lightning are red-hot, unbeaten in regulation in 7 of their last 8 matches, averaging 1.04 goals per game while only allowing 1.02. Their effective power play will be a major factor against Pittsburgh's sometimes vulnerable penalty kill. Brian Engblom's prediction of a high-scoring duel seems spot on, especially considering the historical head-to-head average of nearly 1.07 goals per game between these two. While the Penguins, at 2.77, can be dangerous offensively, their recent inconsistency, losing 1.06 of their last 1.10 and conceding over two goals per contest, is a concern. With no major injuries and Tampa Bay's home-ice advantage, the Lightning, priced at 1.49, are poised to extend their winning ways. This looks like a "must-watch clash" as Paul Rudd noted, but one where Tampa Bay's current form and home crowd will be decisive.
Claude tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.65

Claude prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 05 December 2025.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are showing tremendous form, going unbeaten in regulation in 7 of their last 8 games while maintaining an impressive 3.6 goals per game average. Their defensive prowess, allowing just 1.9 goals per game, gives them a significant edge against a struggling Pittsburgh side.

The Penguins have been inconsistent, dropping 6 of their last 10 matchups and showing vulnerability on defense. While Pittsburgh remains dangerous offensively with Sidney Crosby leading the charge, their defensive lapses – as highlighted by analyst Brian Engblom – make them vulnerable against Tampa's high-powered offense led by Nikita Kucherov.

The home-ice advantage at Amalie Arena cannot be overlooked, where Tampa Bay consistently performs at their best with strong crowd support. Their effective power play could be the difference-maker against Pittsburgh's shaky penalty kill. With the Lightning priced at 1.49, they're clear favorites, and rightfully so given their current trajectory and historical head-to-head success.
Grok tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.65

Grok prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 05 December 2025.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are primed for a strong showing in this NHL clash against the Pittsburgh Penguins at Amalie Arena. Riding an impressive hot streak, Tampa remains unbeaten in regulation in seven of their last eight games, lighting up the scoreboard with an average of 3.6 goals per outing while their defense clamps down to just 1.9 goals allowed. This offensive firepower, led by Nikita Kucherov, pairs perfectly with a potent power play that's been clicking all season—especially against a Penguins penalty kill that's shown cracks.

Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has been inconsistent, dropping six of their last 10 contests and leaking over two goals per game on average. Sure, Sidney Crosby and company can erupt offensively, but their defensive lapses could prove costly in a rivalry known for high-scoring thrillers, where head-to-heads average nearly 6.7 goals. Analyst Brian Engblom nails it: this shapes up as a duel of Tampa's relentless attack versus Pittsburgh's occasional slip-ups.

With the home crowd fueling the Lightning and no major injuries sidelining stars, Tampa's edge feels undeniable. At 1.49 odds, they're a smart play for bettors eyeing value in a likely victory, though the Penguins' +177 underdog price tempts for an upset. Expect Tampa to pull ahead in a barnburner.
DeepSeek tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.65

DeepSeek prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 05 December 2025.

Tampa Bay enters this rivalry clash on a hot streak, unbeaten in regulation in 7 of their last 8 games. Their potent offense, averaging 3.6 goals per game, is perfectly poised to exploit Pittsburgh's inconsistent defense, which has conceded over two goals per contest. With no major injuries and the electric Amalie Arena crowd behind them, the Lightning's effective power play could be the dagger against a vulnerable Penguins penalty kill. While Pittsburgh's offensive firepower ensures this will be a high-scoring affair, Tampa's form and home-ice advantage make them the smart pick, even at 1.49.

Given the historical trend of nearly 6.7 goals in their head-to-head meetings, expect an offensive showcase. However, Tampa Bay's stout defense, allowing just 1.9 goals on average, provides the stability Pittsburgh has lacked. This combination of firepower and defensive resilience makes the Lightning the clear favorite to secure the win.
Qwen tip
Tampa Bay Lightning win
1.65

Qwen prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins, 05 December 2025.

This matchup between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins promises fireworks, with both teams historically delivering high-scoring games. The Lightning, unbeaten in regulation across 7 of their last 8 matches, bring a lethal combination of offensive firepower and defensive resilience. Scoring an average of 3.6 goals per game while allowing just 1.9, they’re hitting their stride at the perfect time. Nikita Kucherov’s presence amplifies their potency, especially on the power play, where they’ve been dominant this season.

Pittsburgh, meanwhile, has struggled defensively, conceding over two goals per game in their last 10 outings. Despite Sidney Crosby’s ability to elevate the team, inconsistency remains a concern. Their penalty kill could be a weak link against Tampa’s efficient power play. While Brian Engblom’s prediction of a high-scoring duel holds merit, the Penguins’ recent form makes them a risky bet at 2.77 odds.

The game takes place at Amalie Arena, where the Lightning thrive under the energy of their home crowd. With odds favoring Tampa Bay at 1.49, they’re the safer, more logical pick. Though the Penguins have offensive weapons, their defensive vulnerabilities make it hard to envision them pulling off the upset in regulation. A draw is unlikely given the historical trend of decisive outcomes in these head-to-head clashes.

Considering all factors, backing the Lightning at 1.49 aligns with both analytics and momentum.

Match News

• Former NHL star and analyst Brian Engblom predicts a high-scoring duel, highlighting Tampa Bay’s strong offense and Pittsburgh’s occasional defensive lapses as key factors shaping the game’s outcome.

• Celebrity fan and actor Paul Rudd recently expressed excitement about the matchup, calling it a "must-watch clash" due to the rivalry’s history and the star power on both rosters.

• Tampa Bay Lightning enter this game on a hot streak, unbeaten in regulation in 7 of their last 8 matches, boasting an average of 3.6 goals scored per game and a stout defense allowing just 1.9 goals on average.

• Pittsburgh Penguins have struggled with consistency, losing 6 of their last 10 games and conceding over two goals per contest, though they remain dangerous offensively when firing on all cylinders.

• Both teams have a history of high-scoring encounters, averaging nearly 6.7 goals per game in their head-to-head meetings, with frequent scoring in every period, promising an exciting offensive display.

• Tampa Bay’s power play has been effective this season, with a strong record in games where they score at least one power-play goal, which could be decisive against Pittsburgh’s sometimes vulnerable penalty kill.

• No major injuries or lineup changes reported for either team, so expect both sides to field their top players, including Tampa’s Nikita Kucherov and Pittsburgh’s Sidney Crosby.

• The game will be played at Tampa’s Amalie Arena, where the home crowd’s energy and support often boost the Lightning’s performance, especially in tight, high-stakes matchups.
See how multiple AI models rate Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins. We aggregate today's betting tips and highlight agreement between models when it occurs. Use this page to scan the overall picture quickly, then open any model's detailed tip to read short reasoning.