Betting tips from AI for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights, 24 January 2026.

This is a razor-close showdown at Scotiabank Arena where the market pegs Vegas slightly ahead at 2.38 while Toronto sits at 2.55. The Leafs bring a heavy attack (165 goals) and a raucous home crowd, but their special teams are a real concern — a power play stuck at 17.21% and a penalty kill that’s surrendered 22 shorthanded goals.

The Golden Knights counter with an elite man-advantage (26.53%, 39/147) and a slight rivalry edge (8-7) highlighted by a 6-5 thriller last week. After a frustrating 2-1 loss where chances were plentiful, Vegas should rebound; the combination of PP efficiency, recent head-to-head success and better points form makes backing Vegas at 2.38 the smart value play.

This NHL showdown between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Vegas Golden Knights promises fireworks, especially after their recent 6-5 thriller. Both teams are surging, but Vegas holds a slight edge in the standings at 60 points to Toronto's 56, and they're "itching for a rebound" after a frustrating loss to the Flyers.

The key battleground here will be special teams. While Toronto boasts a lethal attack with 165 goals, their penalty kill has been a significant liability, leaking 22 shorthanded goals. This plays directly into the Golden Knights' hands, who "sizzle on the power play at 26.53%", a stark contrast to the Leafs' 17.21%. Vegas converting 39 of 147 chances is a serious threat against Toronto's weak PK.

Given Vegas's superior power play, their motivation for a rebound, and their slight historical edge in this rivalry (8 wins to 7), the Golden Knights look set to capitalize. While Scotiabank Arena will be electric, the special teams mismatch provides too great an advantage for Vegas. I'm backing the Golden Knights at 2.38 to emerge victorious.

Vegas comes into Toronto with revenge on their minds after their recent loss to the Flyers. The Golden Knights' power play efficiency (26.53%) could be the difference-maker against Toronto's struggling penalty kill, which has surrendered 22 goals while shorthanded this season.

While the Maple Leafs have a slight edge in total goals (165 vs. 160), Vegas has shown they can match Toronto's firepower, evidenced by their thrilling 6-5 victory in their most recent meeting. The Knights' 2.38 odds offer solid value considering their 8-7 edge in the all-time series.

Toronto's home-ice advantage at Scotiabank Arena is significant, but Vegas's superior special teams play and better points percentage (.625% vs .571%) suggest they're the more complete team right now. As the Olympic break approaches, expect Vegas to capitalize on Toronto's penalty kill weaknesses for a statement road win.

The NHL showdown between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Vegas Golden Knights on January 24, 2026, promises fireworks at Scotiabank Arena, where the home crowd's roar could tip the scales. Toronto's offense is a juggernaut, scorching nets with 165 goals this season, just ahead of Vegas's 160. But the Leafs' penalty kill has been porous, surrendering 22 shorthanded goals, which plays right into Vegas's hands—the Knights boast a sizzling 26.53% power play, converting 39 of 147 chances, dwarfing Toronto's measly 17.21%.

Fresh off a frustrating 2-1 loss to the Flyers despite 25 shots, Vegas is hungry for redemption, and their recent dominance in this rivalry shines through: they've claimed 8 of 15 head-to-heads, including a heart-pounding 6-5 thriller last week. With Vegas at 60 points (.625%) and Toronto nipping at 56 (.571%), the Knights' edge in special teams and momentum makes them the sharper bet at 2.38, especially against Toronto's 2.55. Expect Vegas to capitalize on power plays and steal a road win in this high-stakes clash before the Olympic break.

The Vegas Golden Knights are itching for a rebound after a frustrating 2-1 loss, and their explosive power play at 26.53% poses a major threat to Toronto's penalty kill, which has leaked 22 shorthanded goals.

With a slight edge in the heated rivalry (8 wins in 15 clashes) and a recent 6-5 victory, Vegas's motivation and special teams prowess make them a compelling pick at 2.38.

While the Maple Leafs' lethal attack and home crowd at Scotiabank Arena are factors, Vegas's superior power play and points percentage (.625% to .571%) offer better value than Toronto's 2.55 or the draw at 4.20 in this high-stakes clash.

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Vegas Golden Knights are set to clash in a high-stakes NHL matchup. The Golden Knights, coming off a frustrating 2-1 loss to the Flyers, will be eager to bounce back. Despite their recent setback, Vegas boasts a formidable power play, converting at an impressive 26.53%, which could be a critical factor in this game. On the other hand, the Maple Leafs have a potent offensive lineup, having scored 165 goals this season. However, their penalty kill has been a weak spot, allowing 22 shorthanded goals. This vulnerability could be exploited by the Golden Knights' strong power play. The head-to-head record slightly favors Vegas, with 8 wins out of 15, including a thrilling 6-5 victory last week. The home advantage at Scotiabank Arena might give the Leafs a boost, but the Golden Knights' overall form and special teams edge make them a compelling bet. With the odds for Vegas at 2.38, there's value in backing the Golden Knights to secure another win.