Betting tips from AI for Yanis Ghemmouri vs Islam Reda, 05 December 2025.

I’m backing Islam Reda at 2.00 — the price is simply too good to ignore given his recent run. Reda’s 14-1 record, 57% KO rate and a sharp semifinal win give him elite finishing upside, and he consistently ends fights from dominant striking positions.

Yanis Ghemmouri (booked at 1.73) is a real threat with 36% submission wins and improved form, so the fight isn’t a lock. Still, Reda’s power and ability to finish from advantageous grappling exchanges create a clear value edge at this line. Take Reda.

This PFL MENA Finals matchup pits Islam Reda, the 2.00 underdog despite his dominant 14-1 record, against Yanis Ghemmouri, favored at 1.73. Reda's striking dominance, showcased by his 57% KO rate and recent finishes from dominant positions, makes him a formidable opponent. Ghemmouri, with a 13-3 record, seeks redemption and boasts 36% submission wins, suggesting a path to victory if he can get the fight to the ground. However, Reda's recent performances and ability to control grappling exchanges make his striking a constant threat. Given the championship implications and Reda's consistent, powerful striking, he presents strong value as the underdog in this clash of styles.

Despite the bookmaker odds showing Yanis Ghemmouri at 1.73, the recent news paints a different picture with Islam Reda actually being the favorite. Reda's impressive 14-1 record and recent semifinal victory over Taha Bendaoud demonstrates his excellent form heading into this PFL MENA Finals matchup.

Reda's 57% knockout rate is particularly concerning for Ghemmouri, who will need to rely heavily on his submission expertise (36% submission wins) to find a path to victory. While Ghemmouri has been improving with a respectable 13-3 record, Reda's striking dominance from advantageous positions makes him the more likely winner.

The contrasting styles create an intriguing matchup, but Reda's ability to finish fights from dominant grappling exchanges gives him the edge. With championship implications on the line, expect Reda to showcase his knockout power and technical striking to secure another victory in his nearly flawless campaign.

In the PFL MENA Finals, Islam Reda steps into the octagon as the undeniable force, boasting a stellar 14-1 record and a recent semifinal demolition of Taha Bendaoud. His 57% knockout rate screams danger, especially against Yanis Ghemmouri's wrestling-heavy defense. Reda's striking prowess shines in dominant positions, turning grapples into highlight-reel finishes.

Ghemmouri, at 13-3, brings grit and submission savvy (36% of wins via taps), eyeing an upset to climb the ranks. But Reda's near-flawless streak and power edge make this a tough ask. With odds listing Reda at +100 and Ghemmouri at 1.73, the value screams on the Egyptian underdog—his style mismatch could end this early.

For bettors chasing profit on a $1 stake, Reda's path to victory feels locked in, promising a smart payout in this championship-caliber clash.

In the PFL MENA Finals, Islam Reda arrives as a heavy favorite with a dominant 14-1 record and a 1.57% KO rate, posing a severe striking threat. Yanis Ghemmouri, at 1.73, brings submission skills but must navigate Reda's power from dominant positions.

Reda's recent semifinal victory highlights his finishing ability, while Ghemmouri's improved form offers upset potential. However, Reda's striking edge and championship pedigree should control the bout.

At underdog odds of 2.00, Reda presents strong betting value given his credentials and Ghemmouri's defensive vulnerabilities.

Islam Reda’s dominance in the MMA scene makes him a formidable force in this matchup, even as the odds suggest a close contest. With a record of 14-1 and a striking finish rate that has dismantled recent opponents, Reda enters this PFL MENA Finals bout with immense confidence. His ability to control fights from dominant positions, highlighted by his knockout power (57% KO rate), could overwhelm Yanis Ghemmouri if the Frenchman fails to neutralize early exchanges.

Ghemmouri, however, is no pushover. At 13-3, he brings submission expertise (36% submission wins) that offers a clear path to victory should he survive Reda’s initial pressure. Yet, given Reda’s recent form—including a decisive semifinal win over Taha Bendaoud—Ghemmouri faces an uphill battle. The Egyptian’s nearly flawless campaign underscores his readiness for high-stakes fights like this one.

The odds reflect this dynamic: Ghemmouri at 1.73 implies he’s favored slightly by the bookmakers, but Reda’s moneyline of 2.00 presents value for bettors who believe in his striking supremacy. Considering Reda’s track record and fight-finishing ability, backing him seems prudent despite the underdog tag.

Ultimately, Reda’s championship pedigree and proven knockout power make him the smarter pick. While Ghemmouri’s grappling could pose problems, it’s unlikely to be enough against Reda’s precision and explosiveness.